AI · resolved market
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x995c6e62d515561f2f539b6f9ec1b7d06324258bb67d120fdab4641d583ce469
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb77…4e6bbacked Yes | 68c | 6,843$4,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.62 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3489…7935backed No | 70c | 6,820$4,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,807.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb783…1a78backed No | 78c | 5,285$4,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,097.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…1703backed Yes | 32c | 4,857$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288.54 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633c…781fbacked Yes | 18c | 3,681$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,015.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +453.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 33c | 3,643$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.19 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked Yes | 26c | 3,390$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.09 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 29c | 2,051$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.63 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x124a…3741backed Yes | 23c | 2,050$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.23 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 25c | 1,999$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.28 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bf…75b5backed No | 67c | 1,782$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5582…db8cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,664$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb23e…829abacked No | 77c | 1,500$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9da…aa1cbacked No | 65c | 1,480$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 28c | 1,386$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.78 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed No | 73c | 1,308$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…9025backed No | 76c | 1,244$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 26c | 1,221$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.44 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…5203backed No | 65c | 1,052$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…25a4backed No | 9c | 1,000$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +126.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…ddd0backed Yes | 17c | 988.78$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.59 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 33c | 948.17$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.08 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 23c | 868$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.64 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 21c | 800$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 64c | 700$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…6e3fbacked No | 70c | 652.59$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed No | 62c | 614.07$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…9be4backed No | 64c | 575$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fc…42d2backed Yes | 39c | 561.34$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +109.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 63c | 501.72$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.75 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…df2ebacked No | 78c | 490$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3183…c5ebbacked No | 73c | 483.81$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.94 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…c08bbacked Yes | 33c | 455.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7639…fee6backed Yes | 22c | 451.28$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 76c | 450$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 30c | 400$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…4246backed No | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9a…f6e9backed No | 74c | 399.97$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186c…0b2ebacked Yes | 45c | 354.51$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 38c | 333.79$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.79 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…3ce8backed Yes | 37c | 324.59$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.49 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +59%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 45c | 323.78$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.53 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1682…26cabacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed Yes | 17c | 299$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.17 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 34c | 297.41$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.72 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7478…4003backed Yes | 37c | 297.11$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.11 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79bf…bcdfbacked Yes | 26c | 292.89$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d8…ff9bbacked Yes | 22c | 289.73$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.19 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 35c | 286.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.71 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 35c | 269.17$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.84 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 46c | 260.13$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.92 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked No | 66c | 225.18$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.62 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 30c | 222.56$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.61 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…f21abacked No | 67c | 220.69$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 63c | 216.41$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.05 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2440…6668backed Yes | 26c | 212.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed No | 73c | 204$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 77c | 202.46$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.94 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb477…673ebacked No | 67c | 201.49$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72d6…934bbacked Yes | 47c | 192.19$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…309cbacked Yes | 41c | 188.24$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.24 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf565…8bffbacked Yes | 28c | 179.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d9…e296backed No | 60c | 171.66$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f2…6c8ebacked No | 67c | 170.46$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 62c | 160$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 34c | 158.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 26c | 156.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4b…f574backed No | 75c | 155.82$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fa…7c51backed Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945c…4171backed Yes | 57c | 136.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 36c | 135.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.93 | 144 | 23.6%34 W · 110 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c71…c03abacked Yes | 34c | 135$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…e406backed No | 75c | 133.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 36c | 131.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb48…be6dbacked No | 60c | 131.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…928fbacked No | 64c | 130$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b24…5fd6backed Yes | 36c | 126.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 57c | 123.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 65c | 122.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.63 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked No | 60c | 119.87$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked Yes | 42c | 119.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c70…a710backed Yes | 38c | 118.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…d287backed Yes | 36c | 113.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 28c | 105.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86a…4d34backed Yes | 35c | 101.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a8…7df4backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bc…026cbacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…1b01backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc015…92dabacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…d06fbacked Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…aad2backed No | 67c | 97.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…b078backed Yes | 26c | 94.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…5138backed No | 73c | 94.06$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…991dbacked Yes | 54c | 92.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +127.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed No | 74c | 90.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 28c | 86.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.81 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4095…2e31backed No | 74c | 86.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…dd1cbacked No | 57c | 83.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.