TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe9f2…ddd0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
186
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT7032.9%23 W · 47 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.26
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,090Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$1,909.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.4
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.79
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.8
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.6
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$128
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.5
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.6
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$592.18
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.2
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$657Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$243
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
US strikes Iraq by March 31backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$366.84
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,220
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+348%+$155.36
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$305.8
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+244.8%+$568
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+119.6%+$707.99
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+150%+$108
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+233.3%+$83.99
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT4040%16 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$129.91
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.93
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$208.49
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.6
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+328%+$842.99
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+110.1%+$1,486.18
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$265.39
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+150%+$120
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$130
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$432.1
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+155%+$570.18
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$106
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$61.6
Will Russia capture Siversk by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.2
Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.43
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+164.9%+$249
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$22.5
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,592Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+121.8%+$3,158.39
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+86.3%+$103.93
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$303.03
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$799Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+336.2%+$2,687.56
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.2
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.3
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.71
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.88
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.99
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$247
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+145.1%+$307.8
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$986Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$985.9
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+498.6%+$823.59
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
OpenAI browser by October 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$63.02
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$394
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+262.3%+$362
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+177.8%+$145.78
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,477Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,476.8
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,833Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,832.98
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$527.79
Ravens vs. Chiefsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.32
Will Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$226.38
Will Amazon run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+97.8%+$116.07
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 10 or more times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$41.92
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,439Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,438.69
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+28%+$101.18
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.4
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$755Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$755
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.5
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,279Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+134.6%+$1,721
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$427.76
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$146
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.05
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$434
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$716Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$715.81
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$396.5
Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
US military action against Iran by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+809.1%+$142.4
Will Trump say "Drug" 15+ times at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.2
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.56
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$333.34
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Temple vs. North Texasbacked Temple · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$179.16
Utah vs. Kansasbacked Kansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$147.18
Ohio State vs. Notre Damebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$273.01
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$145.99
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.45
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.05
Texas Tech vs. Floridabacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.7
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+354.5%+$519.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Megaquake in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–2.75 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$231.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.