Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x484fbc4de5ee3653af3d9e139cdd4dea95eb46c8f90acd6cf1864ef684d255d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $814,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $847,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $814,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb63a…4064backed Yes | 12c | 18,024$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.35 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 22c | 17,917$3,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,869.19 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 35c | 12,544$4,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,416.67 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 76c | 10,071$7,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.46 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 62c | 10,000$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,150 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 6c | 9,711$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.39 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 8,931$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.05 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1f…7631backed No | 71c | 8,813$6,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.47 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 66c | 7,500$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc747…324bbacked Yes | 4c | 7,306$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.63 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +12.3wins | +0.19per pick | 4cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 26c | 7,188$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.45 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…3086backed Yes | 23c | 6,565$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…15a8backed No | 68c | 6,033$4,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.28 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 38c | 6,007$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,713.1 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No | 70c | 5,637$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.84 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed No | 33c | 5,092$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,421.48 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…56bcbacked No | 52c | 4,415$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.02 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…482abacked Yes | 31c | 4,244$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…c48fbacked No | 69c | 4,110$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…8110backed Yes | 35c | 4,037$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95d…7316backed No | 65c | 3,957$2,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80d…694abacked Yes | 31c | 2,854$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcb…81dbbacked No | 69c | 2,842$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 10c | 2,793$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.16 | 61 | 11.5%7 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Yes | 55c | 2,728$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…eb88backed Yes | 79c | 2,600$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 63c | 2,594$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.46 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…42dfbacked No | 69c | 2,587$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f59…bee8backed Yes | 31c | 2,569$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb34…8b43backed No | 65c | 2,271$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff2…8ab4backed Yes | 35c | 2,246$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 69c | 2,242$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.76 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 10c | 2,185$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.66 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f0…fc44backed No | 69c | 2,043$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a6…f04ebacked Yes | 31c | 2,007$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fc…5c52backed Yes | 31c | 1,910$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0da…a034backed No | 69c | 1,902$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…558ebacked No | 65c | 1,892$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc69…064ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,871$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 1,806$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.75 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee3b…657cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,796$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.19 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 1,741$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.98 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…96fabacked Yes | 31c | 1,735$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe51a…b4d4backed No | 69c | 1,726$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e81…8b42backed Yes | 31c | 1,710$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb60e…3574backed Yes | 36c | 1,690$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.33 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…9812backed No | 27c | 1,674$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.48 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…c0bdbacked Yes | 31c | 1,657$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…cd68backed No | 69c | 1,650$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c1…2e70backed No | 31c | 1,625$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.36 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed No | 34c | 1,614$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.49 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…8f7cbacked No | 65c | 1,557$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd5…12b3backed Yes | 35c | 1,533$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ad…3f0ebacked No | 69c | 1,447$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…44b6backed Yes | 6c | 1,434$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb325…022fbacked Yes | 31c | 1,424$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a65…a930backed No | 74c | 1,355$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.93 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…789ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,352$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +756.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x712a…8ef9backed No | 76c | 1,320$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 1,318$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.58 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed No | 77c | 1,304$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.17 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…7721backed No | 69c | 1,280$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…54abbacked Yes | 31c | 1,271$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…64aebacked Yes | 25c | 1,201$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.23 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…4594backed Yes | 21c | 1,200$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…474bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,179$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd79a…440abacked Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +396%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,175$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce8…514abacked No | 24c | 1,138$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb232…8709backed Yes | 9c | 1,087$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7758…7125backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66a…a0a0backed Yes | 9c | 996.86$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd5…9b06backed No | 65c | 951.25$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…a4e9backed Yes | 35c | 940.44$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 66c | 920.72$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…49e7backed Yes | 1c | 899.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 19cpaid | +297.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…3ce1backed Yes | 6c | 868.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 9.5%13 W · 124 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1b…e4a7backed Yes | 30c | 831.33$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -54%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…2d13backed Yes | 28c | 805.08$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62f…68e7backed Yes | 7c | 768.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb210…7208backed Yes | 47c | 751.51$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x549e…cebebacked No | 69c | 710.51$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…bb47backed Yes | 15c | 703.53$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.52 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…92a8backed Yes | 14c | 699.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0c…6ccebacked Yes | 31c | 651.91$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05cb…f625backed Yes | 17c | 638.32$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.43 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd669…f5e7backed Yes | 7c | 610.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.17per pick | 4cpaid | +300.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 7c | 595.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed Yes | 21c | 573.29$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.21 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Yes | 35c | 557.66$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +242.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…ed74backed Yes | 11c | 553.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 27cpaid | +147.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x044d…71fabacked Yes | 46c | 548.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 24cpaid | +294%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…de81backed Yes | 29c | 540.29$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.23 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 21c | 534.35$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.63 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…5da1backed Yes | 6c | 507.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…655ebacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 9c | 462$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252e…4d07backed Yes | 5c | 452.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 8c | 436.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 19-25?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 19-25?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 19-25?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 19-25?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 19-25?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 19-25?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 19-25?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 19-25?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 19-25?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 19-25?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 19-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.