Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 19-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62b60d58a37dde865612d46c6f7a27f692a5050dc730bb55a6f552bd90c35c74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $563,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $526,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $563,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 12c | 21,410$2,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,637.54 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…251fbacked Yes | 10c | 19,292$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4e…0d6ebacked Yes | 2c | 17,219$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 80 | 0%0 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df9…71d8backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…792bbacked Yes | 0c | 9,100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…296ebacked Yes | 0c | 7,720$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f6…c914backed Yes | 50c | 6,819$3,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,409.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb31…445dbacked No | 50c | 6,609$3,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,304.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcac…af56backed Yes | 1c | 6,580$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x909b…a95fbacked Yes | 1c | 6,230$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…13d1backed No | 57c | 6,117$3,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630.31 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…96ddbacked Yes | 5c | 5,421$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.04 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 55c | 4,873$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.47 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d6…01cbbacked Yes | 1c | 4,740$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,303$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.15 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 17c | 4,130$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,408.24 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d7…3b16backed Yes | 15c | 3,622$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,483$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 2c | 3,402$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.62 | 90 | 4.4%4 W · 86 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Yes | 3c | 3,293$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed Yes | 15c | 3,131$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.66 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 16c | 3,055$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.7 | 61 | 11.5%7 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…c7aebacked Yes | 5c | 3,000$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…e376backed No | 50c | 2,951$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66a…a0a0backed Yes | 4c | 2,911$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c9…8407backed Yes | 50c | 2,885$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +152.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 31c | 2,720$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.69 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 65c | 2,563$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.3 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e55…6046backed No | 50c | 2,458$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb232…8709backed Yes | 1c | 2,426$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…ced4backed Yes | 50c | 2,411$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 2,268$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee3b…657cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,202$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1904…f03abacked Yes | 3c | 2,101$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 6c | 2,099$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.11 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked No | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62f…68e7backed Yes | 3c | 1,950$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…7846backed No | 50c | 1,925$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 19c | 1,923$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.41 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5c…a079backed Yes | 50c | 1,872$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…1776backed Yes | 7c | 1,870$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…9159backed Yes | 3c | 1,828$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6f…5e44backed Yes | 2c | 1,824$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,697$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 1c | 1,652$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 1,596$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.14 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd669…f5e7backed Yes | 3c | 1,589$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.17per pick | 4cpaid | +300.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x138b…7e3dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,541$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 6c | 1,422$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…64aebacked Yes | 8c | 1,201$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.07 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…b5a4backed Yes | 9c | 1,137$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.35 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb8…1601backed Yes | 1c | 1,134$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…655ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,053$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…04f5backed Yes | 16c | 1,047$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.49 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5831…3f6cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be2…6ad6backed Yes | 3c | 900$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…e02ebacked Yes | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…401cbacked Yes | 4c | 880.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbf…bf76backed Yes | 3c | 868.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 3c | 861.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 809.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 25c | 772.17$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.87 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked Yes | 2c | 700$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…31c4backed No | 21c | 667.47$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.4 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…87c7backed Yes | 16c | 627.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…0966backed No | 80c | 625.56$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf143…c090backed Yes | 18c | 612.06$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.17 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +204.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…aba2backed Yes | 25c | 605.84$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…004ebacked Yes | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 22cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…0a7dbacked Yes | 11c | 584.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdf…adc5backed Yes | 3c | 572.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Yes | 8c | 550$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 143 | 7.7%11 W · 132 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 80c | 535$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0e…27a4backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked Yes | 51c | 494.97$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…54cebacked Yes | 21c | 478.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…ade7backed Yes | 21c | 474.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 5c | 469.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e7…89ffbacked Yes | 11c | 458.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 59 | 8.5%5 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe585…91b5backed No | 75c | 457.26$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.26 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…891bbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c5…feeabacked No | 67c | 446.7$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.34 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 24c | 441$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.87 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed Yes | 22c | 421$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fe44backed Yes | 24c | 418.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed No | 24c | 412.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.5 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e93…e71abacked Yes | 23c | 407.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…11cabacked Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…55dcbacked Yes | 5c | 384.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c24…e918backed Yes | 18c | 333.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c76…c8d5backed Yes | 6c | 323$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -52%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c19…cc52backed No | 53c | 313.15$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.58 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…afb4backed Yes | 4c | 301.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 16cpaid | +201.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 19-25?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 19-25?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 19-25?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 19-25?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 19-25?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 19-25?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 19-25?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 19-25?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 19-25?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 19-25?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 19-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.