TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa793…1776

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst AI at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1910.5%2 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick31cpaid-83.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.08
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$346.99
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$666.95
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,062.05
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$350.38
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$163.53
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will Solana dip to $110 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$25.02
Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 January 26-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 19-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$130.9
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$4,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$4,076.66
Will Solana reach $150 December 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will XRP reach $2.30 December 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,318Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+49.5%+$651.62
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 December 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+69.2%+$165.26
Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Solana dip to $230 September 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.46
Will Bitcoin dip to $112,000 September 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.54
All 19 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$33.39
Over $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$12.32
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.95
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+109%+$31.84
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+118.8%+$30.99
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+104.3%+$37.65
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24.9
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.3
Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$32.55
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$38.1
Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+40.9%+$107.88
ETHGAS FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$85.16
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
All 17 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+203%+$30.45
SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will Torino FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Torino FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.83
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+143.9%+$17.27
US Cremonese vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US Cremonese vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Udinese Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Udinese Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.48
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.21
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+50%+$10
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$45.15
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.43
England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.36
England vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Portugal leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.16
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.39
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+88.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 1 Deportivo Alavés?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+156.4%+$24.4
Levante UD vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+108.3%+$20.8
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.4
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+122.2%+$16.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.83
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+34.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.61
FC Lorient vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12
FC Lorient vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.74
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+132.6%+$17.23
Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.43
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+150%+$22.5
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+163.2%+$18.6
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+53.8%+$28
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.5
Will there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-81.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$39.6
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40.31
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$39.96
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$224.19
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$21.7
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$21.42
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$17.64
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.64
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick52cpaid-79.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.75
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.46
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.07
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.96
ChatGPT Outage by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$16.88
ChatGPT Outage by February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25.26
All 8 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-55.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$15.69
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rotterdam Open: Alexander Bublik vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Ugo Humbertbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$10.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.