La Liga · resolved market
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde46186403d00f0d6ff1fed3efbd958404015dc3b801b60f79af53f273826d37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $362,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $379,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 76c | 40,705$31,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,568.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 73cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 23,342$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,691.83 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 19c | 18,022$3,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,645.13 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 22c | 16,261$3,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,557.41 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 16,139$3,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,605.85 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 22c | 12,012$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665.49 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 20c | 11,200$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,009.94 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 34c | 10,018$3,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,636.72 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed No | 0c | 8,814$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 20c | 6,711$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,344.18 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Yes | 75c | 5,083$3,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 5,050$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,040 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Yes | 74c | 4,050$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 79c | 4,000$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,159.99 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1be…a00fbacked Yes | 21c | 3,696$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +143.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa83…4965backed Yes | 77c | 3,507$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 3,376$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.73 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…1389backed Yes | 21c | 3,277$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 17c | 3,050$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.61 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797d…fcf6backed Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…8d4ebacked No | 80c | 2,499$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed No | 79c | 2,200$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7c…e161backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed No | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 1c | 1,759$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 21c | 1,751$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.29 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 80c | 1,633$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.47 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.95 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0665…4186backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked No | 1c | 1,300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +450.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 13c | 1,243$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.95 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes | 74c | 1,137$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.83 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…1cb6backed No | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…46e8backed Yes | 77c | 1,039$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Yes | 74c | 1,030$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.75 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed No | 78c | 1,012$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f2…88e1backed Yes | 77c | 954.35$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked No | 43c | 929.97$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.09 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 28c | 892.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.95 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 21c | 823.81$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.81 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 78c | 800$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c2…f0a4backed No | 63c | 794.12$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 79c | 759.49$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…32c9backed Yes | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 80c | 660$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.51 | 337 | 34.7%117 W · 220 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 80c | 644.62$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.92 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f74…f2a6backed No | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes | 73c | 575.41$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.36 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4b…b015backed No | 80c | 562.5$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.56 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 79c | 524.51$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.03 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 66c | 507.94$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.85 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked No | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 77 | 19.5%15 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72da…bb42backed No | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 33c | 489.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.34 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 61c | 489.09$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.44 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 29c | 480$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes | 74c | 477.34$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.11 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 19c | 450$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.5 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f0…c63cbacked No | 80c | 444$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 79c | 400$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfca…bcdabacked Yes | 20c | 390$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…0126backed No | 80c | 375$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +128.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…2d2cbacked Yes | 76c | 361.84$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed No | 80c | 360.91$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.73 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed No | 79c | 359$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed No | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aff…5f17backed Yes | 73c | 350.86$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed No | 80c | 350$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de8…9dc7backed Yes | 22c | 348$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked No | 29c | 345.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes | 22c | 337$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd915…e3f7backed No | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 20c | 321.16$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.01 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Yes | 21c | 315.87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.65 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 22c | 304.94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.85 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed No | 25c | 300.17$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8a…4926backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…31dcbacked No | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 20c | 300$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…0ab2backed No | 23c | 285.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3f…8cd6backed No | 26c | 276.92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…ddb2backed Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 79c | 271.65$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.15 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de6…2393backed Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.