TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$191,169
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$195,988

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,169 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No76c28,548$21,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,715.1590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes26c18,089$4,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,697.342,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed Yes29c15,632$4,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,460.081625%4 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c12,121$3,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2424,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No74c10,960$8,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.681566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No74c10,634$7,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,764.736357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed No68c10,441$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,341.162657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001050%5 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+111.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes0c7,938$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.964216.7%7 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+162.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0900…7ae1backed Yes26c5,894$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No74c5,600$4,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4565242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb977…aa8ebacked Yes27c5,237$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeccb…991dbacked Yes26c5,124$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed No68c5,019$3,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.863946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1be…a00fbacked Yes26c3,496$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+143.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21d8…1389backed Yes26c3,277$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.02333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+58.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes20c3,200$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64015044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Yes13c3,123$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4063948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8407353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf318…1b48backed No74c2,675$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+81.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x680b…0ca8backed No74c2,325$1,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x891d…742cbacked No74c1,912$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccca…8d98backed No74c1,891$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.583100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2cf…d1e7backed Yes27c1,852$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0665…4186backed Yes27c1,852$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes19c1,799$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.211,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb75…79aabacked No74c1,695$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0390…e9fdbacked No74c1,618$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.773100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59e5…1cb4backed Yes27c1,604$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4332536%9 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x811e…9b75backed No74c1,594$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No66c1,578$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9489…37d8backed No74c1,525$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.42475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+68.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39038729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes17c1,471$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503650%18 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42f3…1e83backed Yes18c1,427$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+68.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes15c1,339$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003737.8%14 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes32c1,219$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3902227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-44.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes26c1,200$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31264046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c1,169$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3141,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes13c1,045$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1406920.3%14 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaa…35b2backed No74c1,021$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2705563.6%35 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19011929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2147…a818backed Yes5c976.55$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-59.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No71c924$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.194463.6%28 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No74c900$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23842851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ae…33a3backed No74c856.76$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7bb…0fd6backed Yes26c850$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22140%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes19c821.05$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15637829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No72c800$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22422552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No74c656.06$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.219330.1%28 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes25c637.77$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.134126.8%11 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes19c521.05$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993250%16 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+49.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13514427.8%40 W · 104 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…5833backed Yes27c448.15$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd5…6428backed Yes25c431$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1089656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005831%18 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes16c375$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604440.9%18 W · 26 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+56.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes26c367.5$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5579133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503221.9%7 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No74c316.05$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1749057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x73c1…1eaebacked Yes26c316.05$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.171010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-82.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No74c305.64$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.471973.7%14 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick73cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8419750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710233.3%34 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549154.9%50 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8431751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x447f…4f2abacked No68c298$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.441553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Yes4c280$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.47625%19 W · 57 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb20…d0bdbacked Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No73c271.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2311751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7db…c00cbacked Yes22c268$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.521118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No72c250$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7029053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No72c250$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7021849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes19c246.84$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.94738.3%18 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes26c242.03$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.449840.8%40 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7f4…6eadbacked Yes22c228.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508932.6%29 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f26…14f0backed Yes27c211.11$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No75c204.96$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4260147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x92f5…85aabacked Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389034.4%31 W · 59 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5089050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacae…41adbacked Yes17c199.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes27c196$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.929634.4%33 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3f2…d8b1backed Yes26c182.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+156.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes23c173.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409641.7%40 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No72c159.54$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.678045%36 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes19c159.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2233734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes17c149.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256643.9%29 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Yes19c147.37$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3167…f43cbacked Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-48.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a33…237dbacked Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Yes27c141.54$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.225129.4%15 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes10c138$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.73339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.