TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc9c2…f0a4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
161
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT5658.9%33 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+39%+$19.52
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.39
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+70%+$150.43
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$315.79
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.27
LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,225.39
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$55.67
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$34.8
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports - Game 1 Winnerbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.72
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.86
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.58
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$81.25
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$87.32
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$100.97
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$71.51
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$831.15
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.27
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$22.2
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+46.6%+$186.56
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+30.8%+$246.78
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+32.5%+$69.88
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$15.56
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+28.7%+$28.67
Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+36.8%+$16.56
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vinícius Júnior record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.98
Will Michael Olise record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.4
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+240.9%+$106
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+40.8%+$204.23
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+25%+$10
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+35.5%+$7.1
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+45.3%+$15.85
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+86.7%+$21.67
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$20.46
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$115.55
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$107.26
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$225.14
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,535Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$827.23
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.46
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,399Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+29.2%+$408.48
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$773Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$773
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+54%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-67.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick77cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,450Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$509.4
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.52
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+38.9%+$11.67
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+28.4%+$167.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.4%+$53.07
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$61.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+127.8%+$102.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Tomas Machacbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$882
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$43.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,634Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,633.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.