TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-03-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$398,609

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $398,609 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes22c98,281$21,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,982.182326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No77c40,859$31,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,492.7690843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Yes23c29,800$6,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,853.77455.4%41 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No63c25,554$16,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,454.965538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes33c14,490$4,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,743.824,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No78c13,914$10,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,086.552,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No77c12,713$9,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,924.049625%24 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No77c10,000$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3003946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No78c8,997$7,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.761,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No77c7,909$6,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.0711839%46 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes21c7,357$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.59640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No77c7,000$5,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6105757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No80c7,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.1224147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccc5…ada3backed No79c5,226$4,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.955650%28 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No78c4,331$3,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.8750449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed No63c3,965$2,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.725367.9%36 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No78c3,911$3,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.813,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes20c3,800$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7602245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed No78c3,656$2,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.531457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+57.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No77c3,333$2,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.597443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked No80c3,200$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.11566.7%10 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No78c3,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66019255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No77c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes20c2,843$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.5735442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No78c2,500$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.124564.4%29 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No62c2,440$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.3269142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No79c2,365$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.9592254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No77c2,241$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.951,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeea…fc66backed Yes20c2,230$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No78c2,180$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.5342851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc9…d038backed Yes20c2,143$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No79c1,933$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.9650149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes16c1,761$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.727630.3%23 W · 53 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes21c1,693$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.6850243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Yes16c1,563$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed No77c1,532$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe2…9645backed No80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.28966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd13e…f2d6backed No80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03bd…49f8backed Yes10c1,220$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-59.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes21c1,198$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.5820449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes21c1,173$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.8826550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No78c1,100$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24421355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9011120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2304254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed No58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4202755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc339…ba5bbacked No80c987.78$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes21c963$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.23933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+71.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No78c936.9$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.127339.7%29 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No77c844.15$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.154434.1%15 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-32.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No77c800$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18422552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed No77c779.22$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.225959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes22c736.95$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.139058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No78c700$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.0122746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked No77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.353148.4%15 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes10c605$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010431.7%33 W · 71 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Yes7c600$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427719.5%15 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes21c505.47$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.854042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca3…590fbacked No80c505.05$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.013145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked No77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0510049%49 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015940.3%64 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95ba…51ebbacked No80c489.75$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca2…4c35backed Yes39c472.79$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75c2…b8b5backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.45per pick35cpaid+169%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked No57c443.54$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.726035%21 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No68c443$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.5814067.9%95 W · 45 L+12.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9ce…0edbbacked Yes21c432.51$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bb9…27f5backed Yes21c423.69$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.79450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes4c414.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5945841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked No61c409.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.843330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa349…81ecbacked No62c404.31$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.641275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Yes33c399.62$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+90.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9840…4530backed Yes21c382.81$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.39540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c7…56aebacked No80c380$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No74c379.93$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.664042.5%17 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+72%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f31…6953backed Yes21c378.49$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3330%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb58…5d49backed Yes21c376.18$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.85425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed No60c375.6$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.67159.2%42 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked No80c375.37$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.374062.5%25 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes3c368.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0422753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x744f…4eacbacked Yes21c362.03$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.83450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked No58c359$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7613249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b67…cd22backed Yes21c356.46$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4507…dc26backed Yes21c346.57$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da3…5a49backed No60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.332347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes20c318.15$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6364046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Yes21c308$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.686440.6%26 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No80c300$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.520642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No79c300$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6223947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6927652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6919750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6929053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6931751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ce4…da39backed Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0687…77bfbacked Yes9c284.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes13c271.58$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.531,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked No56c266.23$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.143033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked No77c259.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.865052%26 W · 24 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick68cpaid-24.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5a55…b5babacked Yes21c254.63$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.