TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$559,839
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$619,850

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $559,839 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 410 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes65c82,963$53,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,240.2936851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No27c58,611$15,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,824.997742.9%33 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No29c50,000$14,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,50010443.3%45 W · 59 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes52c41,477$21,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,107.919336.6%34 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No32c34,827$11,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,106.478259.8%49 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes71c29,430$20,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,487.876653%35 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes72c29,048$20,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,195.341,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No28c22,848$6,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,347.510040%40 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Yes52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,600955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes68c13,342$9,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,301.62152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes64c12,892$8,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,650.8314953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Yes72c12,136$8,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,397.971957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed No28c10,999$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.84228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes72c10,000$7,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7652454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1d9…4ce3backed No27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.964936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11be…cbabbacked No27c9,999$2,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,684.051030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-58.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcce5…bdafbacked Yes67c8,619$5,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,829.471233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes73c8,026$5,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,167.029146.2%42 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes71c7,844$5,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,274.874454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No33c7,358$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.1414952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes77c6,793$5,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.9516136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No37c5,935$2,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,218.710845.4%49 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No32c5,932$1,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.6938935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No28c5,921$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6588241.5%34 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No31c5,356$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.0820948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No26c5,315$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.2119453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Yes74c5,000$3,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3203250%16 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes72c4,524$3,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.038040%32 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f02…2d67backed Yes73c4,100$2,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…3dc8backed No28c4,100$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No37c3,928$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.6917348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Yes73c3,865$2,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.031250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb0…2fd8backed Yes73c3,651$2,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.986100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes72c3,600$2,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00818160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No26c3,356$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.127052.9%37 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No37c3,245$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.769043.3%39 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes73c3,105$2,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.8829846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes73c2,740$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.733959%23 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes52c2,500$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2105529.1%16 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82ba…077abacked No27c2,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed No28c2,041$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.531154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked No29c2,010$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.211526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc341…6298backed No27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Yes72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5605545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5209643.8%42 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes72c1,967$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.717853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2752…8ce3backed Yes74c1,863$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.311163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No30c1,828$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.681,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed No28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No28c1,745$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.3220462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc876…faa5backed Yes77c1,691$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.561070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd470…783ebacked No28c1,635$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.793330.3%10 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa05b…a94fbacked Yes74c1,588$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.87540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb641…ac31backed Yes73c1,536$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+79.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe467…2f53backed No28c1,535$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa858…4b9fbacked Yes73c1,515$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.83875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe040…c867backed Yes73c1,510$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x176a…e672backed No28c1,509$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe976…8b73backed Yes69c1,481$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.08875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c6c…2f0bbacked Yes74c1,400$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f26…be98backed Yes74c1,272$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.792050%10 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes73c1,233$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.882835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3447…4d3cbacked Yes74c1,200$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3122100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked No28c1,183$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3333464.7%22 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+19.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes74c1,073$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.972479.2%19 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No38c1,021$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.933537.1%13 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d62…2fe8backed Yes74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2602100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No34c1,000$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.6314044.3%62 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8637…9657backed No26c961.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.12933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Yes74c930.59$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.332147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaae6…a85cbacked Yes74c900$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2342100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed No29c862.07$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505349.1%26 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes68c857.88$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.491741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7456…5148backed No47c843.62$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No33c832.22$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.3737544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf876…7640backed Yes70c829.41$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes62c811.24$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.2415250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes54c800$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36910330.1%31 W · 72 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked No20c780.56$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.352832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-47%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked Yes65c771.14$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.421450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Yes72c750$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick56cpaid+45.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf58d…914abacked Yes69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed Yes74c712.62$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.344156.1%23 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No26c700$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18219028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked No38c657.33$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes73c650.02$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.57060%42 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes72c600$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16819755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71f8…55ffbacked No35c599.99$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.5911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-82.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes67c592.65$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.656735.8%24 W · 43 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4406…c664backed Yes53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.04728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-52.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes71c560.13$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.131770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No27c555$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8511950.4%60 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x421b…8982backed No49c551.93$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.853240.6%13 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes71c543.74$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.684242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1424…4f78backed No28c542.86$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes50c523.78$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.1538343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6274…ce95backed Yes55c511.21$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+71.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Yes53c500.7$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.375100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14012330.1%37 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes69c500$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.753256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.