TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$174,263
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$169,742

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,263 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No24c50,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,00010443.3%45 W · 59 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes70c25,017$17,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,498.311,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No29c21,166$6,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,234.0219028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No30c12,000$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,549.9214235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes68c8,817$5,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,821.566653%35 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes68c7,500$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4004454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes70c3,497$2,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.0220948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f84…dd89backed Yes70c3,332$2,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.612821.4%6 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-55.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No34c3,001$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.4115442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes69c2,908$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.63545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No26c2,321$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.971,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No27c2,315$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.6520343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No30c2,282$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.9238048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No28c2,010$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.868241.5%34 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60022147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5608938.2%34 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Yes73c1,936$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.361154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick71cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes70c1,651$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.35453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5395…9ea1backed Yes69c1,509$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3097…a2cabacked No31c1,508$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14c3…df68backed No30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.99812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick44cpaid-81.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes69c1,466$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.029146.2%42 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90fc…064fbacked Yes74c1,362$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.16580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes71c1,250$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.524963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No29c1,250$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.538343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes68c1,242$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.3630657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc23c…3993backed Yes70c1,143$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012546.4%58 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f9b…1fb3backed No29c999.99$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No23c956.2$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.2258248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No26c830.78$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21614952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked No31c799.96$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.994841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes71c754.65$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.637544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf2…f1c6backed Yes71c740.11$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…e89abacked Yes71c704.3$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.33661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes69c695.72$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.3712938%49 W · 80 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed Yes73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.934156.1%23 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No28c677$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.5611950.4%60 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x883f…aad2backed Yes72c672.22$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.221573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+36.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes71c637$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.733860.5%23 W · 15 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+38.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No35c613$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.5518250.5%92 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x942c…fb3abacked Yes70c571.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.431844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed No29c555$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.951747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes72c506.94$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.949556.8%54 W · 41 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x716d…eaf2backed Yes71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid+9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed No27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353324.2%8 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed No28c499.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick33cpaid+102.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No6c466.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028540%114 W · 171 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No15c450$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6814044.3%62 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe7…44a2backed Yes70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.571952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcdc…500dbacked Yes71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.54633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-52.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No27c416.98$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5110051%51 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a28…7630backed Yes72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.672650%13 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59ca…6840backed Yes73c393.15$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad10…c665backed Yes73c354.79$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.79825%2 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-63.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked Yes73c350$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.52751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0678…9fd0backed No23c336.7$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785038%19 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Yes66c303$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8419344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845558.2%32 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Yes73c299.98$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.993043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes70c281.93$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.936144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7fa…ad31backed Yes72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.781338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Yes72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.782733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf20…f904backed Yes72c276.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c5…8cadbacked Yes69c266.96$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.761560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4923…3094backed Yes70c250.8$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.241464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+34.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No30c240$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7216853.6%90 W · 78 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed Yes70c231.43$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.43955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes63c223$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5129846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes70c219$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.713238.6%51 W · 81 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x845f…4fe9backed Yes70c207.14$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.14366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed No34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6218334.4%63 W · 120 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f76…e72bbacked Yes70c186.6$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick72cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No16c182.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.129336.6%34 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed No28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022847.8%109 W · 119 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3adf…d8b0backed No31c177.42$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb72e…7c3bbacked Yes69c155.07$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.071346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No33c152$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1624047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.253231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.939924.2%24 W · 75 L-7.9wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-43.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fd2…f9aebacked Yes70c143.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.721872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf614…689abacked Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd83a…cdbebacked Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf32a…b9a4backed Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f88…e6a5backed Yes71c141.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.93955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.857064.3%45 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.896058.3%35 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb911…a649backed Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f9f…2a51backed Yes74c135.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.324257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf1a…3953backed Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.144100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x953d…c08fbacked Yes71c134.41$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.41540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-42.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x595f…9d4dbacked Yes75c133.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.611060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5399…fab2backed No15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No9c120.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7714332.2%46 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes72c110$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.86246.8%29 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes73c102.74$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.748651.2%44 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb41c…2f0dbacked Yes73c100.15$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.151457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.