TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,495
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,284

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,495 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes9c15,960$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.7519028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes4c10,000$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.442236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes10c8,000$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79014235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes10c6,149$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.940222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc52c…6732backed Yes10c6,004$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes10c5,394$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.6416136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005731.6%18 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011218.8%21 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015032.7%49 W · 101 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes11c3,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3208433.3%28 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes9c2,901$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.079336.6%34 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes10c2,500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505349.1%26 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b04…6549backed Yes5c2,086$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes8c1,858$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.0910051%51 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes11c1,766$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.769146.2%42 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes10c1,761$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.93545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x413f…47f3backed Yes10c1,700$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1631118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes8c1,637$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.968848.9%43 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes12c1,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9817426.4%46 W · 128 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1234…9bd1backed Yes6c1,418$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803540%14 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+32.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3adf…d8b0backed Yes11c1,227$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1343138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-65.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d7a…6a2bbacked Yes5c946.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e81…b001backed Yes5c911.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-38.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009142.9%39 W · 52 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes13c717.24$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.246653%35 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3e2…1026backed Yes11c636.36$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7050%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1861…408dbacked Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401275%9 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+134.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0d7d…928abacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502817.9%5 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick29cpaid+8.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2932…3ae8backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes9c462.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7537544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46c6…a48ebacked Yes10c460$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Yes4c459.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbebb…1465backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+37.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes13c450.18$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5213927.3%38 W · 101 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c0…35e6backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1cf…9656backed Yes11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448626.7%23 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc637…c341backed Yes10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes5c354.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.515635.7%20 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes12c341.67$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9921…dcb7backed Yes12c309.67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.16933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f07…c05fbacked Yes11c302.82$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5840…fb16backed Yes4c253.59$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0148…daf8backed Yes13c210$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7102…28b4backed Yes7c203.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152619.2%5 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9bb…410bbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202540%10 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2082…c686backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fb2…bc8cbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201631.3%5 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-37.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes13c199.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.927931.6%25 W · 54 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes8c190.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151172.7%8 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.38per pick34cpaid+109.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x81e1…7265backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf713…a97bbacked Yes11c180$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.62832.1%9 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+215.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71ad…4a01backed Yes11c174.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Yes12c169.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e50…7a6bbacked Yes9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c0…9618backed Yes12c130.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c8e…34bcbacked Yes12c127.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.30per pick39cpaid-85.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd3ad…360cbacked Yes12c127.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ce…316ebacked Yes11c127.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12cc…6d98backed Yes12c126.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb191…28e0backed Yes10c120$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa562…30c3backed Yes12c117.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaff8…e1a3backed Yes12c116.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x875d…1163backed Yes9c111.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.44728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd30…fed8backed Yes10c106.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.68714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-73.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109346.2%43 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1028840.3%116 W · 172 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82f8…8066backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+48.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1feb…bdc1backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb7…7998backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104615.2%7 W · 39 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7f…2438backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89de…9bc9backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe462…a325backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b6…858dbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed1…331bbacked Yes11c92.64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.19728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaa…b757backed Yes12c91.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-67.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes11c91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0129134.4%100 W · 191 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.