La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x214ffc1d2163f01e7ecb91af94e05248a861d8004ac1dd2f57324b2f1ab916b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,095,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,198,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,095,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 849 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 72c | 601,502$433,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168,429.18 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 29c | 504,859$146,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146,409.05 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 72c | 287,367$206,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,423.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 29c | 189,350$54,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,911.4 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 25c | 147,506$36,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,876.58 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 19c | 99,371$18,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,760.81 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 22c | 59,509$12,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,824.06 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 28c | 58,514$16,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,364.69 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes | 80c | 35,000$28,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae6…3cbebacked No | 27c | 27,732$7,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,466.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 28c | 26,487$7,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,518.27 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 28c | 25,976$7,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,173.33 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked No | 30c | 24,640$7,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,392 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 72c | 24,388$17,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,876.17 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 28c | 22,556$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.94 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed No | 27c | 21,001$5,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,670.27 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed No | 29c | 18,952$5,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,496.07 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 71c | 17,235$12,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,978.41 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 71c | 16,645$11,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,811.39 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked No | 29c | 16,330$4,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,735.7 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 27c | 14,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 29c | 12,608$3,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,598.46 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 73c | 12,388$9,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.99 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 28c | 12,000$3,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,303.94 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 30c | 11,666$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.8 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 26c | 11,628$3,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,066.17 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 76c | 11,338$8,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,718.87 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed No | 29c | 10,342$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044.13 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Yes | 70c | 10,074$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,974.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9963…32e4backed Yes | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 29c | 10,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.99 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 29c | 9,690$2,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809.99 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 72c | 8,565$6,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.77 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 71c | 8,204$5,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.16 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed No | 28c | 7,649$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.67 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 1c | 7,388$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 28c | 7,077$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.6 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Yes | 74c | 7,064$5,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.83 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed No | 29c | 6,636$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 29c | 6,409$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.5 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 30c | 5,803$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.7 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed No | 26c | 5,769$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed Yes | 70c | 5,395$3,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.6 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…db41backed Yes | 73c | 5,061$3,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.31 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf32…5159backed Yes | 69c | 5,010$3,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7064…1b74backed Yes | 75c | 4,963$3,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.34 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Yes | 72c | 4,740$3,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.24 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 29c | 4,492$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.64 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9512…a3d7backed Yes | 74c | 4,489$3,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 71c | 4,046$2,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.31 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Yes | 71c | 4,041$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed No | 13c | 3,890$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.79 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed No | 26c | 3,685$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.08 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…85b5backed Yes | 71c | 3,500$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 77c | 3,266$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.49 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +12.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 26c | 3,208$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.08 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 72c | 3,073$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.29 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Yes | 70c | 2,857$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 71c | 2,827$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.83 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 70c | 2,570$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.86 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 79c | 2,562$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.83 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes | 71c | 2,535$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.21 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…5e52backed Yes | 80c | 2,512$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed No | 29c | 2,440$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.8 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 30c | 2,343$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.9 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 68c | 2,326$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.92 | 836 | 40%334 W · 502 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 74c | 2,321$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.81 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x297e…0bf9backed No | 28c | 2,303$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 25c | 2,226$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.43 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…cfbebacked Yes | 71c | 2,113$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 71c | 2,044$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.66 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 74c | 2,027$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.03 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 28c | 2,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked Yes | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 71c | 1,889$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.73 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 4c | 1,886$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.42 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 9c | 1,800$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 71c | 1,727$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.83 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed Yes | 71c | 1,690$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.14 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed No | 30c | 1,685$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.64 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…e3a9backed No | 28c | 1,640$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 71c | 1,614$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.46 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked No | 30c | 1,547$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 79c | 1,538$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.1 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 23c | 1,521$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.79 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…3d75backed No | 29c | 1,500$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…75abbacked Yes | 75c | 1,467$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…60c5backed Yes | 74c | 1,454$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.58 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc7…d23bbacked Yes | 71c | 1,411$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e0…6829backed Yes | 71c | 1,410$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 71c | 1,409$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.51 | 80 | 75%60 W · 20 L | +13.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcc87…e026backed Yes | 73c | 1,400$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe473…755abacked Yes | 72c | 1,390$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 66c | 1,374$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.51 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.