TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$524,251
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$456,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $524,251 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Yes11c173,852$19,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,123.741323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-68.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes12c115,992$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,0002634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes12c10,881$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.872850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4440…959abacked Yes12c8,838$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.561241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes7c8,545$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.321322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes13c8,167$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10023727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7c…5076backed Yes5c4,413$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Yes13c3,918$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.642035%7 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+73.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes11c2,570$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.75440.7%22 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Yes12c2,503$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.31219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-64.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes11c2,273$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25023152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes11c2,249$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.048940.4%36 W · 53 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes12c2,085$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2206640.9%27 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes13c1,890$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.6450243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cb…2208backed Yes13c1,803$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.151241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-36.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes6c1,785$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.93,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes11c1,669$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.5960147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes11c1,500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16538729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Yes10c1,466$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.6540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No51c1,413$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.45143.1%22 W · 29 L+15.1wins+0.30per pick14cpaid+663.6%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x624d…91fcbacked Yes11c1,366$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes10c1,130$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1131520%3 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+61.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97d6…0ca3backed Yes12c1,069$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes5c1,007$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7679133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes11c1,004$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.444934.7%17 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107424.3%18 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes12c974.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.435145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Yes15c933.33$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003423.5%8 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-10.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes9c776.98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.84126.8%11 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Yes10c730$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735032%16 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes12c700$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes5c667.41$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3769142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes6c611.58$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.69425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+142.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e4…4e60backed Yes11c600$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89fa…2353backed Yes11c515.44$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.08633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+77.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753737.8%14 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff1f…d6edbacked Yes12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe82c…cc70backed Yes11c445.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa98d…3560backed Yes12c443.17$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes12c416.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9811740.2%47 W · 70 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x739f…a188backed Yes12c415$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xccd9…f849backed Yes31c399.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.351346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes12c392.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.085034%17 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a2…94f6backed Yes11c351.45$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Yes7c349$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.431526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ae…f407backed Yes11c319.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.111822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0e…2033backed Yes11c312.82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes12c312.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes10c307.96$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.85942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14723762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed Yes12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb732…9737backed Yes10c300$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29742.9%3 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick14cpaid+171%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfb8…c597backed Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes12c290$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.83423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1269…9a11backed Yes11c278.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32100%0 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes11c275$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.25837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8675…e850backed Yes12c249.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.931225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes15c238.17$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7360832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Yes10c237.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.222437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7707…0180backed Yes7c214.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Yes6c207.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.473946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes12c200.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0264046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d16…3770backed Yes11c200$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf32…5159backed Yes6c186$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.161050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e7b…3b16backed Yes12c183.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc0a7…90f4backed Yes12c175$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfabe…76a2backed Yes11c173.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes12c167.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020947.4%99 W · 110 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dec…be12backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x581c…d9dabacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205844.8%26 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206920.3%14 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee77…ad2abacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3aa…b3a1backed Yes13c152.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.79728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-51.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes11c151$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.615650%28 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bef…f80abacked Yes12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95d9…ab03backed Yes9c150$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.071010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-81%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes13c150$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8333734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes7c150$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.57236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb13e…d9bfbacked Yes11c143.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes14c143.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012727.6%35 W · 92 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26b8…5851backed Yes11c137.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b99…c0acbacked Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes12c133.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16429.5%4 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-63.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4549…0450backed Yes13c126.92$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-56.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes11c122.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.453627.8%10 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20c7…50c9backed Yes12c120.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.466344.4%28 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Yes12c116.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-48.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab79…6123backed Yes12c108.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123930.8%12 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1e0…87a5backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6313…246dbacked Yes13c94.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+26.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Yes12c92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.042065%13 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.25per pick40cpaid+49.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes11c90.95$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105855.2%32 W · 26 L+7.8wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes12c84$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0826550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a18…ba41backed Yes13c81.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.583857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x264c…08bcbacked Yes15c77.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.661040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+69.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.