TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$758,463
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$776,758

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $758,463 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Yes17c555,555$94,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94,444.271323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-68.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes26c14,273$3,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,710.871040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes16c12,314$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970.253366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes16c7,638$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.882,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Yes16c7,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes18c5,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90011444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ab3…12b2backed Yes16c4,455$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d73…9aadbacked Yes16c4,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x632a…ac85backed Yes16c3,960$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes18c3,579$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.215125.5%13 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc1…3512backed Yes4c2,586$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.24450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes17c1,471$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25023152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce6…de1fbacked Yes1c1,418$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.98714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-72.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x624d…91fcbacked Yes16c1,366$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes18c1,235$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.028940.4%36 W · 53 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes9c1,148$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x207f…793bbacked Yes18c1,092$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-51.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb92f…566bbacked Yes18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x769c…5c05backed Yes16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4730…cdb1backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d40…e36cbacked Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda12…38d6backed Yes16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ff…24e3backed Yes17c970.59$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16550%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x127a…3344backed Yes17c931.04$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-57.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes9c871.31$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7179133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes8c819.87$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.536920.3%14 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Yes18c720$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.65032%16 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes18c696$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2850243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes18c631.17$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3535145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7bb…0fd6backed Yes18c600$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10840%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6521322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes18c415.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.795650%28 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa20f…fcaabacked No75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa53e…f9f6backed No71c389.94$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.084100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+84.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011740.2%47 W · 70 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cbf…70a1backed Yes18c264.44$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.441233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Yes5c251.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.63946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes16c250.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.561,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes18c244.31$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.396344.4%28 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8675…e850backed Yes17c243.02$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.311225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8819…4cf5backed Yes16c237.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383941%16 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes16c233$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3953242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0494…42b0backed Yes6c211.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Yes18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee77…ad2abacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x112c…1227backed Yes16c189.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-55.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37eb…6bf7backed Yes16c183.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.31250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a7…90f4backed Yes18c173.28$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95d9…ab03backed Yes10c141$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.691010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-81%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec4…d755backed Yes16c131.94$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes18c131.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.645034%17 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7174…9874backed Yes16c129.94$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.79742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7349…337ebacked Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf965…9e79backed Yes19c124.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.31728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-61.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes16c118$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.883528.6%10 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc913…488bbacked Yes18c114.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c9d…084bbacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-71.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7eaf…bb0cbacked Yes18c107$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.792236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1762744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06ee…d693backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes19c99.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.937623.7%18 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0b6…a1fbbacked Yes18c90.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes26c89.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.497750.6%39 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes14c84.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.854126.8%11 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Yes18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154422.7%10 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes17c76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9222746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes18c74.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1441323.2%96 W · 317 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e7…5284backed Yes18c70$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02b2…2ea2backed Yes16c68.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b99…c0acbacked Yes16c66.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6830%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d5b…c301backed Yes16c66.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a6…c405backed Yes16c65.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4e1…cddabacked Yes16c65.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7da…37ddbacked Yes16c64.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x790e…acf5backed Yes18c64.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb444…8d6fbacked Yes16c63.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4549…0450backed Yes19c63.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-56.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…73f4backed Yes16c63.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes16c62.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0848934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020947.4%99 W · 110 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb5…f40fbacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Yes18c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115042%21 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No76c20.63$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9514342%60 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No76c19.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.678045%36 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.