TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$946,387
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,084,031

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $946,387 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 732 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No45c60,000$27,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,00031947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No42c53,571$22,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,530.9320140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes57c37,008$21,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,918.731,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed No44c31,947$14,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,056.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No43c23,325$10,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,029.8618950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No42c22,204$9,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,305.4824846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfda…bedebacked No44c20,809$9,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,157.735349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed Yes55c20,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,0002661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+30.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes57c17,544$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,543.863246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes55c17,500$9,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,799.9650644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No43c17,076$7,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,342.6714450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No26c16,477$4,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,287.556,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Yes56c16,235$9,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,143.532828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes58c15,539$9,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,526.3827235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes57c15,000$8,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,399.974847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Yes55c14,094$7,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,342.5221853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes57c14,029$8,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,996.921,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No20c13,324$2,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,689.981,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No43c10,500$4,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,524.9837054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No45c10,262$4,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,617.7530851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed No44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4001520%3 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-63.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Yes56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,40010148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54fd…ae61backed Yes58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2004100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No1c10,000$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1256015%9 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick15cpaid-66.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No44c8,930$3,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,929.28453.6%45 W · 39 L+9.8wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes56c8,868$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,868.4610737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No44c7,680$3,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,414.6113852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No42c6,366$2,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,673.8831944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20018433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes56c4,734$2,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.7423350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Yes57c4,353$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.743333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Yes58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6804264.3%27 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe045…c149backed No43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.983850%19 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No42c3,831$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.218747.1%41 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No42c3,709$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.7846651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No12c3,520$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.924,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Yes58c3,448$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.285646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe0c…5b42backed Yes56c3,268$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.16366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No9c3,222$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.9356453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Yes55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3505745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No45c2,819$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27024047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes56c2,730$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.5140046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3b…042abacked No43c2,513$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.59633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes78c2,337$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.2610042%42 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd57…8c8ebacked Yes57c2,332$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.763100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No44c2,270$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.321,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No26c2,207$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.2640150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab1a…7a79backed No43c2,091$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2933…3cdfbacked No43c2,011$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.73785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+68.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe83d…3324backed Yes57c2,010$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.332544%11 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09a8…567fbacked No43c1,999$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.5770%0 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No43c1,971$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.5341437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Yes75c1,924$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.014860.4%29 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x929e…b419backed Yes57c1,881$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.83633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x372e…6badbacked Yes57c1,868$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes78c1,847$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.313828.9%11 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No44c1,818$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8009250%46 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a19…2833backed Yes56c1,812$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.221855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x860d…f210backed Yes57c1,740$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-37.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf2…423abacked Yes56c1,736$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.71757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes79c1,723$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.1167042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xab19…f7fabacked No43c1,701$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.43771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+54.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3278…c58ebacked No43c1,618$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.74425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0bc…b74cbacked No43c1,617$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.31933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes56c1,600$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70412642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9571…1d98backed Yes74c1,600$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4162100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+71.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dfe…e2cabacked Yes57c1,596$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.28683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+68.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfeda…420cbacked No43c1,595$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes57c1,567$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.677448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc587…1630backed No44c1,564$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.364955.1%27 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x595e…4b85backed No43c1,559$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.37450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fc…e5d8backed No43c1,546$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.78666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes56c1,523$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.1211945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe065…4b83backed No43c1,488$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.84728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbba8…958dbacked No45c1,483$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.17333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6601…72ccbacked No43c1,454$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.22633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes75c1,450$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.53953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…9c9abacked No34c1,450$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8b…0b5bbacked No43c1,400$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No43c1,400$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.9940953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd25…7e48backed Yes73c1,371$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No26c1,370$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.211162.2%69 W · 42 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d76…5b76backed No43c1,351$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.93757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No43c1,344$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.0210956%61 W · 48 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.338743.7%38 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd54c…b42dbacked Yes57c1,324$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.32683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x114f…3c61backed Yes57c1,316$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.88650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0319…d442backed No43c1,311$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.73922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-70%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7cb0…51d5backed Yes77c1,298$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.362254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes78c1,270$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.1228736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c6f…b31bbacked No4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.99812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-65.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x835a…688ebacked No43c1,240$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x137c…3d59backed No43c1,232$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-46.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab56…890cbacked Yes57c1,219$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.17785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+63.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2922…5422backed Yes57c1,219$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.17666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Yes56c1,213$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.591030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Yes55c1,200$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54014254.2%77 W · 65 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f84…f1c4backed No42c1,200$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.58850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0940…543ebacked Yes57c1,195$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.85771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.