NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68418025cbc5821c81e5b6ae2fb7897aa96f0aa2254aa42e8a04f63014d12034
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,266,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,319,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,266,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns | 23c | 260,885$59,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201,556.31 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Timberwolves | 43c | 114,650$49,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,864.96 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 90,000$69,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,300 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Suns | 39c | 67,426$26,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,841.28 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Suns | 24c | 54,281$13,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,253.78 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Suns | 23c | 51,532$12,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,510.65 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Timberwolves | 76c | 51,454$39,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,104.8 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Timberwolves | 76c | 40,134$30,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,700.5 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Suns | 24c | 40,037$9,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,493.04 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 40,000$31,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,400 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Suns | 22c | 40,000$8,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,369.65 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf963…0637backed Timberwolves | 77c | 39,500$30,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,415 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Suns | 60c | 38,604$23,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,276.74 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 38,098$29,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,715.28 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Timberwolves | 77c | 38,000$29,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,260 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Suns | 35c | 36,034$12,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,432.26 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Timberwolves | 67c | 33,479$22,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,508.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Suns | 53c | 31,407$16,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,859.97 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Suns | 25c | 27,273$6,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,359.61 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Suns | 21c | 24,438$5,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,340.53 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Timberwolves | 79c | 24,367$19,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,249.91 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Suns | 62c | 24,267$15,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,159.26 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Suns | 22c | 24,000$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,720 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Timberwolves | 72c | 23,046$16,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,691.52 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…447cbacked Timberwolves | 75c | 21,596$16,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,200 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 51c | 20,282$10,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,846.15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Suns | 21c | 20,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,800 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Timberwolves | 79c | 20,000$15,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,800 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Timberwolves | 78c | 20,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,599.86 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Timberwolves | 74c | 19,197$14,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,206.48 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Suns | 23c | 19,108$4,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,712.83 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 18,623$14,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,409.93 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns | 25c | 17,868$4,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,477.59 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Suns | 25c | 16,289$4,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,216.83 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Suns | 23c | 15,821$3,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,244.57 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Suns | 36c | 15,740$5,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,073.55 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Suns | 22c | 13,464$2,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500.76 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 13,435$10,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,330.36 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Suns | 47c | 13,247$6,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,015.2 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Timberwolves | 79c | 12,658$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Timberwolves | 72c | 12,354$8,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,943.45 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Suns | 22c | 12,148$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,416.78 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Suns | 48c | 11,828$5,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,101.23 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Suns | 24c | 11,528$2,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,725.74 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Timberwolves | 75c | 11,400$8,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,584 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 76c | 11,142$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500.07 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Timberwolves | 77c | 11,000$8,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,465 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Suns | 27c | 10,913$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,913.3 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Suns | 36c | 10,900$3,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,981.57 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Timberwolves | 76c | 10,853$8,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,241.05 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Suns | 56c | 10,460$5,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,563.85 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…af42backed Timberwolves | 61c | 10,421$6,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,305.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Suns | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,599.96 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Timberwolves | 61c | 9,997$6,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,098.03 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd65d…a9e6backed Timberwolves | 76c | 9,175$6,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,972.71 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Timberwolves | 73c | 8,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.99 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Timberwolves | 76c | 8,000$6,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,079.98 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Timberwolves | 78c | 7,770$6,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,060.56 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Suns | 25c | 7,448$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,586 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Timberwolves | 19c | 7,400$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.34 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Timberwolves | 43c | 7,361$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,194.74 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…1665backed Timberwolves | 69c | 7,269$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.43 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Suns | 22c | 7,250$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,655 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 38c | 7,175$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,748.49 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Timberwolves | 1c | 7,150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…2e89backed Timberwolves | 60c | 7,000$4,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,174.99 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Timberwolves | 8c | 6,923$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.08 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Timberwolves | 77c | 6,815$5,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,228.91 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81cb…a228backed Suns | 21c | 6,608$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,220.61 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Suns | 38c | 6,195$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,811.41 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Suns | 21c | 6,075$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,770.62 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…dec2backed Timberwolves | 74c | 6,000$4,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,440 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…749ebacked Timberwolves | 20c | 6,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.92 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Suns | 38c | 5,878$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,656.35 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Suns | 52c | 5,851$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.77 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Suns | 21c | 5,786$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,550.32 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Suns | 24c | 5,681$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,324.63 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Timberwolves | 62c | 5,435$3,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,369.69 | 165 | 40%66 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Suns | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.41 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…296abacked Timberwolves | 78c | 5,097$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Timberwolves | 76c | 5,062$3,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,836.52 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Timberwolves | 63c | 5,062$3,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,198.7 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Suns | 21c | 5,050$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,989.36 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Suns | 24c | 5,010$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,807.9 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…8bb7backed Timberwolves | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Timberwolves | 16c | 4,929$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.61 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…08aabacked Timberwolves | 76c | 4,902$3,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,725.22 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Suns | 22c | 4,836$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,772.19 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Timberwolves | 77c | 4,750$3,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,658 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Suns | 34c | 4,725$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,113.56 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…a442backed Timberwolves | 64c | 4,680$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Timberwolves | 38c | 4,568$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.5 | 481 | 32.6%157 W · 324 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 4,423$3,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,460.05 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 4,341$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.61 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b50…c7ebbacked Suns | 21c | 4,324$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,416.21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Timberwolves | 60c | 4,157$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Timberwolves | 79c | 4,150$3,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,278.5 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…8a09backed Timberwolves | 79c | 4,143$3,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,273.22 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -8.2wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Suns | 22c | 4,127$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,218.68 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Timberwolves | 61c | 4,098$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Suns won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Suns won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Suns won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Suns won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.