TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Timberwolves, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,983
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,342

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,983 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Suns53c8,428$4,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,920.262,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x159f…5862backed Timberwolves46c3,663$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6852142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves47c3,460$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.644,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Suns53c3,008$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.2322053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves14c2,760$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.268,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Timberwolves41c2,348$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.6885147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Timberwolves44c2,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87027051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Suns58c1,900$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8051,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Timberwolves48c1,545$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.791,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Suns59c1,426$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.824051.3%123 W · 117 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Timberwolves46c1,300$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.982,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed Timberwolves42c1,184$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49310255.9%57 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves46c1,051$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.461,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Suns59c1,020$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.2823845%107 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Suns54c1,018$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.2867252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Suns54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46051753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Timberwolves41c850$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.518151.9%94 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Timberwolves47c709.72$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.572,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves46c679.83$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.643,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Timberwolves41c600$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.2525642.6%109 W · 147 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Timberwolves47c596$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.121,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Suns57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21573649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb116…940abacked Suns60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20012655.6%70 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Suns56c458.74$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.8591050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Suns54c420$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.236854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Suns53c420$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.454838%208 W · 340 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Timberwolves46c410.87$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18918241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x69c1…fbb6backed Timberwolves48c387.5$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Timberwolves41c373$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.9358347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e48…6fd3backed Timberwolves42c359.99$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.24544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Timberwolves47c290.13$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3651146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Suns59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2490957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28a8…57d5backed Timberwolves42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Suns55c236$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.262541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Timberwolves44c233.49$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.712,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5993…c102backed Timberwolves48c233.33$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Timberwolves12c217.49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5252643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Timberwolves46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Timberwolves48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Timberwolves44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed Timberwolves41c197.56$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick13cpaid+58.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves44c194.75$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.859,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Suns54c191$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.869360.2%56 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xac53…821fbacked Suns54c190.26$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.522454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves43c190$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.74,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves47c188.62$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.053,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Timberwolves43c181.75$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2580744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f6…8132backed Suns56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Timberwolves47c170$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.91,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b20…7c67backed Suns62c161.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7719552.8%103 W · 92 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Timberwolves38c146.77$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7744654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Timberwolves7c146.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.252449.4%23 W · 221 L-27.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-72.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Suns58c137.93$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9363142%265 W · 366 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Suns54c129.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6381845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…1943backed Suns54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1120150.7%102 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48f8…9166backed Suns54c101.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8517145.6%78 W · 93 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Timberwolves47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4754951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Suns56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4451651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed Suns56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4426044.6%116 W · 144 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e7…85a1backed Suns55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4519556.9%111 W · 84 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x36ce…daddbacked Suns53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476154.1%33 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…fcf3backed Suns54c94.44$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4412454%67 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc76e…caa5backed Suns54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5911545.2%52 W · 63 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…5c00backed Timberwolves46c87.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.249051.1%46 W · 44 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Timberwolves42c87.47$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.921,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Timberwolves46c87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.025843.1%25 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Timberwolves47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408146.9%38 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5748…7b81backed Suns54c83.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3314751%75 W · 72 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebac…be55backed Suns56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4312153.7%65 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x533a…6566backed Timberwolves48c64.62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f17…2332backed Timberwolves47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012155.4%67 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf86a…9ed1backed Timberwolves46c61$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.063354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1365…97dfbacked Suns53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.616253.1%86 W · 76 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…a1a1backed Timberwolves47c56.24$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.671435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Suns54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.561,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd24e…f8e1backed Timberwolves42c52.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.012951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64cc…a4cebacked Timberwolves47c48.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa347…092bbacked Timberwolves48c47.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Suns54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.340853.7%219 W · 189 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f4…4dafbacked Suns80c46.25$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.253562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Suns52c41.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2031538.1%120 W · 195 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ccb…a193backed Timberwolves48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f7a…6563backed Suns53c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.395253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Timberwolves43c35.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.38725.3%22 W · 65 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-40.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Timberwolves46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6410751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Timberwolves46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6432649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Timberwolves46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6431852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Timberwolves46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6426648.5%129 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Timberwolves46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6410646.2%49 W · 57 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Timberwolves46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6425150.2%126 W · 125 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…67b1backed Timberwolves47c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.513956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Suns53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.16058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e32…f244backed Suns53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.14153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Timberwolves43c28.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.197140.8%29 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc5…7ac4backed Suns57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.327452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Timberwolves46c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf275…7050backed Suns54c24.07$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.077955.7%44 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Suns54c20.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3787950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.