NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf57cec93b42188eae6ecd585ff52346833334aca55196b52f38025c25603a0cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Timberwolves, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Suns | 53c | 8,428$4,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920.26 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…5862backed Timberwolves | 46c | 3,663$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 47c | 3,460$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.64 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Suns | 53c | 3,008$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.23 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 14c | 2,760$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.26 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Timberwolves | 41c | 2,348$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.68 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Timberwolves | 44c | 2,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Suns | 58c | 1,900$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,545$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.79 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Suns | 59c | 1,426$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.8 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Timberwolves | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.98 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Timberwolves | 42c | 1,184$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves | 46c | 1,051$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.46 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Suns | 59c | 1,020$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.28 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Suns | 54c | 1,018$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.28 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Suns | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 850$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.5 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Timberwolves | 47c | 709.72$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.57 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 679.83$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.64 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Timberwolves | 41c | 600$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.25 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 596$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.12 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Suns | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Suns | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Suns | 56c | 458.74$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.85 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Suns | 54c | 420$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…b062backed Suns | 53c | 420$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 548 | 38%208 W · 340 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 410.87$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69c1…fbb6backed Timberwolves | 48c | 387.5$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Timberwolves | 41c | 373$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.93 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…6fd3backed Timberwolves | 42c | 359.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 290.13$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.36 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Suns | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a8…57d5backed Timberwolves | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Suns | 55c | 236$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Timberwolves | 44c | 233.49$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.71 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…c102backed Timberwolves | 48c | 233.33$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Timberwolves | 12c | 217.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Timberwolves | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…f055backed Timberwolves | 41c | 197.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 194.75$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Suns | 54c | 191$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.86 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…821fbacked Suns | 54c | 190.26$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.52 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 43c | 190$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 47c | 188.62$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 181.75$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f6…8132backed Suns | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Timberwolves | 47c | 170$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…7c67backed Suns | 62c | 161.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Timberwolves | 38c | 146.77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Timberwolves | 7c | 146.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Suns | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Suns | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Suns | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Suns | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Suns | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Suns | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Suns | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…daddbacked Suns | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed Suns | 54c | 94.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed Suns | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Timberwolves | 46c | 87.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Timberwolves | 42c | 87.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Timberwolves | 46c | 87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…7b81backed Suns | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebac…be55backed Suns | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533a…6566backed Timberwolves | 48c | 64.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Timberwolves | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Timberwolves | 46c | 61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Suns | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…a1a1backed Timberwolves | 47c | 56.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Suns | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…f8e1backed Timberwolves | 42c | 52.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64cc…a4cebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 48.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa347…092bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Suns | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…4dafbacked Suns | 80c | 46.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Suns | 52c | 41.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccb…a193backed Timberwolves | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Suns | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 35.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Timberwolves | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Timberwolves | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Timberwolves | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Timberwolves | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Timberwolves | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Timberwolves | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Suns | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Suns | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Timberwolves | 43c | 28.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Suns | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Timberwolves | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…7050backed Suns | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Suns | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Suns won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Suns won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Suns won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. TimberwolvesSuns won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.