NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0402404fec5fbddc62345f70a8a40274d2c56a5c6bb478c76fc4869c9a6d5825
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Under | 52c | 25,064$12,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,140.4 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 9,537$4,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,706.17 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 9,429$4,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,526 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Over | 49c | 2,608$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.79 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 2,065$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.1 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Over | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 47c | 1,023$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.34 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 49c | 538.2$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.48 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 480$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 47c | 362.76$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.38 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 342$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.01 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…2348backed Over | 52c | 290.38$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ba…9d46backed Over | 50c | 282.24$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 54c | 155$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 53c | 110.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Over | 54c | 99.48$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…908dbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 46c | 83.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc4…b756backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…9811backed Over | 70c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 58c | 69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Under | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…1ef0backed Over | 52c | 47.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…b99abacked Over | 52c | 29.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 53c | 28.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 336 | 50.6%170 W · 166 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…dee4backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c2…3066backed Over | 51c | 19.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Suns won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Suns won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Suns won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Suns won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. TimberwolvesSuns won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.