NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f10fd2fa02925abc02d81618635085c4db3c97b77e1b34ae5336975d0d6ca65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 19,827$9,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,142.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 47c | 14,278$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 53c | 12,196$6,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,732 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Under | 68c | 11,100$7,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,563 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Under | 53c | 6,098$3,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,865.82 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 57c | 5,505$3,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.2 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf45e…6460backed Over | 45c | 4,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…fefbbacked Under | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…0c2ebacked Over | 47c | 3,932$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x803e…b070backed Under | 51c | 3,916$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 56c | 3,547$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.73 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 32c | 3,459$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.38 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 33c | 3,131$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.79 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 32c | 2,675$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.6 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…8a0bbacked Under | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf88d…796dbacked Over | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8955…b51dbacked Over | 50c | 2,098$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 53c | 1,875$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 33c | 1,423$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.92 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 52c | 1,248$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 1,154$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.49 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 50c | 1,000$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.67 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc483…8ac8backed Under | 64c | 950$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.1 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 53c | 920$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.9 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed Under | 63c | 636.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.67 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.5wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 49c | 611.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.1 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Under | 42c | 606.77$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.9 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 49c | 529.36$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.45 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 37c | 527.86$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.1 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 46c | 502$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.92 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 52c | 500$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 492.38$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.72 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92fa…7d02backed Under | 59c | 456.71$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.82 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 455.18$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.02 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Under | 57c | 445.61$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.61 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 56c | 432$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.94 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…1c8fbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 33c | 352.42$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.58 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d53…061cbacked Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 288.21$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.87 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d12…31e0backed Under | 51c | 286.61$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…5692backed Over | 51c | 258.27$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Over | 48c | 219.55$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 57c | 209$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.87 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 184$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.63 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 55c | 159.76$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 46c | 109.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Under | 55c | 102$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…9033backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…398bbacked Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 52c | 95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 47c | 77.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 46c | 75.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Over | 48c | 73.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…c594backed Under | 56c | 70.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…7a7abacked Over | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Over | 43c | 62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Over | 43c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 38c | 54.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Over | 43c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Over | 44c | 49.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Under | 52c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 24c | 45.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 48c | 45.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ed…112bbacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd64…c090backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf9…fbc2backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 37c | 42.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1156…cd4abacked Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 350 | 52%182 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…d6cabacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Over | 47c | 36.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -6.0wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…224cbacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 54c | 32.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f7…1cddbacked Over | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x123c…e814backed Over | 44c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -72%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffe…1bc9backed Over | 51c | 28.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Under | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Under | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Under | 54c | 24.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Suns won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Suns won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Suns won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Suns won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. TimberwolvesSuns won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.