TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,414
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,138

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,414 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c19,827$9,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,142.019,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over47c14,278$6,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,70012341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under53c12,196$6,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,73240350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Under68c11,100$7,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5636352.4%33 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under53c9,000$4,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2301,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Under53c6,098$3,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,865.8220542.9%88 W · 117 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under57c5,505$3,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,367.266250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf45e…6460backed Over45c4,500$2,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,02510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f79…fefbbacked Under55c4,500$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.31540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…0c2ebacked Over47c3,932$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x803e…b070backed Under51c3,916$2,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Under56c3,547$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.7376746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over32c3,459$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.3876054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over33c3,131$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.798,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Over49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47022053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over32c2,675$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.61,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc96…8a0bbacked Under56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1002759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf88d…796dbacked Over44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over47c2,100$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9871,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8955…b51dbacked Over50c2,098$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Over53c1,875$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00027443.1%118 W · 156 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over33c1,423$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.923,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Over52c1,248$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64922845.2%103 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under51c1,154$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.493,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under50c1,000$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.671,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc483…8ac8backed Under64c950$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.12665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under53c920$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.92,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf0a…70a0backed Under63c636.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.671827.8%5 W · 13 L-5.5wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-57.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under49c611.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.12,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Under42c606.77$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.917941.9%75 W · 104 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under49c529.36$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.4595049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over37c527.86$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.12,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over46c502$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.922,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under52c500$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2391,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25534645.7%158 W · 188 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over43c492.38$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.725,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92fa…7d02backed Under59c456.71$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.823844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under53c455.18$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.024,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Under57c445.61$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.615540%22 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under56c432$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.946,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe29…1c8fbacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Under55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1805349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over33c352.42$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5852643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d53…061cbacked Over52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15611942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f27…6ea7backed Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14714145.4%64 W · 77 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under50c288.21$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.872,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d12…31e0backed Under51c286.61$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.84850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa633…5692backed Over51c258.27$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.72450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Over48c219.55$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10582440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Under57c209$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.877951.9%41 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over50c184$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.632,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8236649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under55c159.76$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.642,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over46c109.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.395548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Under55c102$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.950047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…9033backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Over32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3263427.3%173 W · 461 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5138845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9196…398bbacked Under80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Under52c95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6827051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Over48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021055.2%116 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Under47c77.63$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1476247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over46c75.46$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Over48c73.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f02…c594backed Under56c70.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.854050%20 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Over48c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.617444.3%77 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cdb…7a7abacked Over43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.15844.8%26 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x879d…8c58backed Over43c62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.662450%12 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Over51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x521c…64d2backed Over43c55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.652437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over38c54.66$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.773,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x684b…47edbacked Over43c54$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.222737%10 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-30.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Over44c49.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9980146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4669…785ebacked Under52c47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.74757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over24c45.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.963745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Over48c45.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2228856.9%164 W · 124 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x74ed…112bbacked Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd64…c090backed Under57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.863863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf9…fbc2backed Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202050%10 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over37c42.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.741,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1156…cd4abacked Under55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184542.2%19 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.845251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad87…f9a1backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035052%182 W · 168 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e6…d6cabacked Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d49…c438backed Over47c36.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.92832.1%9 W · 19 L-6.0wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-42.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd4e6…224cbacked Under56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.718852.3%46 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Over43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511853.4%63 W · 55 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked Under50c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under54c32.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f7…1cddbacked Over46c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.726741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x123c…e814backed Over44c31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.64714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-72%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ffe…1bc9backed Over51c28.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.55955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed Under57c28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.043658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Under54c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.965152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over49c24.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe26b…a9ecbacked Under54c24.43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.245455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab0…8383backed Over43c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.322142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.637253.5%199 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.