NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaebd91d8ecfd2309c8e3994aa40e655d574c714b5c716b6e9ae410000a90b05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Timberwolves, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $256,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $256,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Suns | 55c | 102,692$56,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,565.6 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 84,444$38,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,444.24 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Suns | 51c | 31,667$16,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,460.5 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 47c | 19,455$9,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,234.03 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Suns | 50c | 18,911$9,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,385.59 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Timberwolves | 49c | 16,574$8,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,091.97 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 16,000$7,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,040 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 10,106$4,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,772.03 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…4ef5backed Timberwolves | 49c | 8,870$4,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,346.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 7,778$3,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,871.39 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Suns | 55c | 5,267$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.16 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Suns | 54c | 5,088$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.92 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Timberwolves | 46c | 4,971$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.49 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Timberwolves | 46c | 4,306$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Timberwolves | 49c | 3,688$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.58 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a10…543cbacked Suns | 51c | 2,676$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.37 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,448$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.52 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…ff56backed Suns | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63e2…bb9bbacked Suns | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71ea…a8eebacked Suns | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c50…a2a9backed Timberwolves | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd49…4b3bbacked Suns | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…512fbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7258…b1dbbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d30…c94fbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 7c | 1,994$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,812$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.11 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Suns | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Timberwolves | 45c | 1,332$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.67 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,286$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.65 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Timberwolves | 45c | 1,144$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.22 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…c98abacked Timberwolves | 46c | 1,104$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.95 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Suns | 51c | 1,018$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.82 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Suns | 58c | 859.32$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.32 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Suns | 50c | 649.32$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.4 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Suns | 50c | 600$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 506.52$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.68 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Suns | 53c | 468.65$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.27 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked Timberwolves | 46c | 435.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Timberwolves | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Suns | 51c | 368.39$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.51 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…17c5backed Suns | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Timberwolves | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked Suns | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 120 | 63.3%76 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Timberwolves | 38c | 250.14$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Timberwolves | 46c | 230.84$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.19 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Timberwolves | 52c | 220$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Suns | 77c | 207.79$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Timberwolves | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Suns | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Timberwolves | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c4…0121backed Timberwolves | 52c | 176.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf3…326bbacked Suns | 51c | 176.59$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.53 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Timberwolves | 48c | 172.42$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Timberwolves | 11c | 167.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 163.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…5e83backed Timberwolves | 46c | 145.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Suns | 52c | 143.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.66 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Suns | 56c | 135.71$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Timberwolves | 46c | 133$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…50eabacked Timberwolves | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Suns | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 463 | 48.4%224 W · 239 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Suns | 75c | 126$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Timberwolves | 47c | 124.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…74dfbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Suns | 50c | 121$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 120.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Timberwolves | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…6921backed Timberwolves | 46c | 110.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Suns | 49c | 105.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Timberwolves | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 135 | 36.3%49 W · 86 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Suns | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Timberwolves | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Suns | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Suns | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…0831backed Timberwolves | 52c | 88.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 185 | 58.4%108 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fb4cbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 81.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Suns | 49c | 81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Suns | 55c | 76.89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Timberwolves | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…d660backed Timberwolves | 46c | 70.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Suns | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Suns | 47c | 69.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Suns | 49c | 61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Timberwolves | 29c | 59.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc687…e856backed Suns | 74c | 57.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x075a…8d34backed Timberwolves | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Suns | 51c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Suns | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4aa…947cbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 49.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Timberwolves | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Timberwolves | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Suns | 49c | 46.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Suns won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Suns won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Suns won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. TimberwolvesSuns won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.