NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf06ebac8bc9b5c5ab468d1a62d19f39e36fac98db79c28edd1e0628c85c6c1c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 55c | 7,198$3,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,247 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 4,713$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 44c | 2,359$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.96 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 45c | 1,607$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.1 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 63c | 1,585$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.31 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 52c | 1,277$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 36c | 1,182$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.54 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…8a0bbacked Under | 60c | 634.85$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.94 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…6c50backed Under | 62c | 578.03$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…0831backed Under | 61c | 521.51$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.85 | 185 | 58.4%108 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Over | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 466$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.33 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 42c | 445.3$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.55 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 37c | 424.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.25 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Over | 48c | 270.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 40c | 258$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92fa…7d02backed Under | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 55c | 226$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.7 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c8…4307backed Over | 44c | 194$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 192.31$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ae…7348backed Over | 44c | 192$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 56c | 187$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6857…7f23backed Under | 56c | 185$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d5…f618backed Under | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…04b5backed Over | 45c | 176$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef55…7603backed Under | 55c | 166$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Under | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 59c | 109$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 34c | 100.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Under | 54c | 90.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…908dbacked Under | 60c | 83.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Under | 62c | 80.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Over | 41c | 74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 38c | 71.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Over | 44c | 68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked Over | 44c | 61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Over | 43c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 62c | 46.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4741backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 53c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 40c | 37.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Under | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Over | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Over | 41c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Under | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Over | 41c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…ae1ebacked Under | 55c | 21.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1156…cd4abacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Suns won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Suns won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Suns won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Suns won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. TimberwolvesSuns won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.