NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbc72c179f45e91fc0e8e400dc0550a59f1fe6912170d0fac199cfb87c5a9a2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 11,552$5,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,779.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 48c | 7,199$3,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,728.35 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Under | 53c | 4,195$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.59 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Over | 50c | 2,480$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 2,388$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.12 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4c…94fdbacked Under | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…2002backed Over | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 1,948$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.13 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 1,535$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.69 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 49c | 1,513$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.78 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 49c | 1,462$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.24 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…9811backed Over | 62c | 1,183$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.2 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.31 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 51c | 686.26$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.27 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 643.4$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.29 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 50c | 542$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 488$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.24 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Under | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Under | 52c | 200.12$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.12 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…6fd3backed Over | 54c | 200$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 36c | 179.15$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.5wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 52c | 133.54$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 51c | 113.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 102.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…17e7backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Under | 51c | 99.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…4f13backed Under | 51c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…256ebacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Over | 50c | 35.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x417d…62c7backed Under | 51c | 33.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeafd…2674backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…b4e6backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9b…5d0cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Suns won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Suns won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Suns won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Suns won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. TimberwolvesSuns won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.