TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ccb…a193

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+72.4%+$59.38
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$48.79
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Sevilla FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+59.8%+$109.39
Will Sevilla FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$15.55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+25%+$20
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+75.4%+$30.18
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$27.32
Canucks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+53.8%+$9.56
Wild vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+92.3%+$36
Devils vs. Bruinsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+66.8%+$12.03
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Will Estoril Praia win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$76
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angola win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+35.6%+$10.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.