La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45a8e3f5e875901edaa51d3b6edd79c73cbb1e0208dbccb8f0e267ade2077b44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $283,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $290,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 413 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 37c | 42,042$15,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,685.24 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed No | 68c | 21,508$14,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,975.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 16,918$11,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,713.02 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 62c | 16,451$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,251.36 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 37c | 9,187$3,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,425.11 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 64c | 8,111$5,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914.86 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 63c | 7,936$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.32 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 62c | 6,500$4,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.99 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 6,499$4,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.43 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 68c | 5,875$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.79 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Yes | 34c | 5,233$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.81 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -48%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.95 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 33c | 4,545$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 64c | 4,233$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.96 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.98 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 37c | 3,631$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.47 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 37c | 2,727$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.37 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…5a11backed Yes | 33c | 2,670$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 32c | 2,638$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.23 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.98 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 58c | 2,324$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.15 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 64c | 2,206$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.31 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 63c | 2,148$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.67 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 62c | 2,050$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.18 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 63c | 1,548$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.12 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 1c | 1,530$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.7 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 66c | 1,528$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.23 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 67c | 1,445$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.91 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f8…2667backed Yes | 38c | 1,418$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 70c | 1,350$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.71 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…08a9backed Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked No | 3c | 1,300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +8.1wins | +0.58per pick | 6cpaid | +977.1%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2449…75a4backed Yes | 35c | 1,239$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…195bbacked Yes | 36c | 1,167$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 36c | 1,100$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 24c | 1,092$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a1…4799backed Yes | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,062$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 63c | 1,030$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.82 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c07…34a4backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked No | 63c | 999.97$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…59cbbacked No | 63c | 999.97$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 59c | 986.35$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.12 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 36c | 945.78$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.48 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e03…7f54backed Yes | 37c | 820$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb65c…dcdfbacked No | 63c | 787.3$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.3 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…48e3backed Yes | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 33c | 723.11$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.78 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 38c | 700$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Yes | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes | 38c | 644.74$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 63c | 634$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.41 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b9…3d59backed Yes | 22c | 633.16$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…08d0backed Yes | 37c | 580$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 38c | 568.42$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 38c | 560.88$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.08 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…f863backed Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…aa11backed Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…ca8dbacked Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d61…ed5ebacked Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca47…fb92backed Yes | 38c | 525.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ed…8836backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 36c | 511.59$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.29 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Yes | 18c | 500$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.26 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…5270backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 63c | 499.98$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.99 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 38c | 490.65$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 73c | 489.98$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.89 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…8f13backed Yes | 38c | 485.05$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 31c | 479.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.13 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 34c | 464.91$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 69c | 436.81$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.26 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b290backed Yes | 35c | 420.29$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes | 34c | 403.43$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.7 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 37c | 401.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833a…5d74backed Yes | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Yes | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac3…d015backed Yes | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 63c | 372.87$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.96 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 37c | 370.27$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2278…3188backed Yes | 33c | 363.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 38c | 363.16$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 33c | 350$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-15?this page
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-12-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.