La Liga · resolved market
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-12-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf56d55d33a2521402ee1fbb1f8888ecb4a920eaeb1f8d7e8c74a2973eb2a7485
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $218,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 69c | 27,851$19,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,160.8 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 34c | 11,500$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,959.99 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed No | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 62c | 8,064$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.32 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 5,935$4,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.13 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 3c | 5,000$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 4,893$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.04 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…bca4backed No | 3c | 4,848$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,702.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +636.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…08a9backed No | 66c | 4,842$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.45 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked No | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.96 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 34c | 3,532$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 24c | 3,284$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508.23 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f0…964ebacked No | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 34c | 2,354$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.32 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes | 29c | 2,270$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 65c | 2,078$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.82 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 66c | 1,811$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.61 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 36c | 1,810$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 66c | 1,647$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.83 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 63c | 1,574$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.35 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed No | 65c | 1,556$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.6 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…1938backed No | 66c | 1,552$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebd…a63dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,550$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 34c | 1,500$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.99 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,353$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.43 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e8…c4cdbacked Yes | 35c | 1,170$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3f…09e1backed Yes | 36c | 1,157$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8819…4cf5backed Yes | 37c | 1,080$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 34c | 1,073$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.62 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…b175backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.25 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 64c | 999.98$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.37 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 61c | 990.48$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.57 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c0…72f1backed Yes | 36c | 975$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 38c | 970.3$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.8 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 946.4$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…701abacked No | 64c | 942$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2974…1a1bbacked No | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked No | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked No | 66c | 888.71$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.34 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e03…7f54backed Yes | 37c | 820$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 37c | 815.31$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 32c | 795.78$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.2 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 35c | 750$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 57c | 723.29$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.6 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 17c | 709.1$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.32 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 62c | 708$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.04 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 63c | 666.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.79 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59d9…eec0backed Yes | 36c | 661.99$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 38c | 653.61$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.99 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked No | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…17ddbacked No | 64c | 613$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 63c | 599.99$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…0119backed No | 64c | 590$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…fdb2backed No | 64c | 567$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 67c | 533.44$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.01 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 79c | 519.48$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.57 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c4…f3e2backed No | 67c | 511.94$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 30c | 511.33$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.57 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked No | 7c | 500$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +8.1wins | +0.58per pick | 6cpaid | +977.1%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…80f6backed No | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b290backed No | 64c | 440.19$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 62c | 423$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.74 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…6b0abacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 62c | 405.81$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.03 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes | 35c | 400$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yes | 37c | 370.26$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 62c | 369$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.22 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9b…40f4backed No | 64c | 362$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 62c | 339.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…f91dbacked Yes | 30c | 331.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed No | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed No | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc2…4837backed No | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 27c | 299.72$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed No | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…673abacked No | 66c | 288.87$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…c8d0backed Yes | 36c | 286.07$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 62c | 285$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 62c | 285$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 62c | 282$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.16 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9baf…bd11backed Yes | 36c | 280$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 37c | 272.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2c…2436backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed No | 64c | 270$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f1…b17bbacked Yes | 30c | 266.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…1570backed Yes | 38c | 266.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…b0a6backed Yes | 38c | 262.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 15c | 256.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…1630backed No | 67c | 254$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed No | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-12-15?this page
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.