TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,551
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$186,406

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,551 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Yes39c17,050$6,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,422.871,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Yes47c15,633$7,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,321.426566.2%43 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked No71c10,000$7,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,099.953253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No71c7,042$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.8212648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes29c5,582$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,964.6230634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No48c5,390$2,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,570.8569142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23ac…caedbacked No72c4,858$3,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,497.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes29c4,617$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,278.0750243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb883…8f46backed Yes29c4,238$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,008.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+135.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe045…c149backed No72c4,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,879.92650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No57c3,993$2,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,282.0790843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes29c3,448$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,448.2810250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2745…055ebacked No1c3,381$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked No66c3,156$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,083.09450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac71…b290backed No71c3,000$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.99825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-53.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5007553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes29c2,500$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7752454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No70c2,000$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.9923452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No68c1,932$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.7650149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No60c1,762$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.074,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa297…8e9bbacked Yes29c1,724$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.14425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No34c1,646$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.0774457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed No66c1,500$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9959947.5%47 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63e7…c2d9backed Yes28c1,472$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes35c1,456$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.533,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No3c1,344$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.335143.1%22 W · 29 L+15.1wins+0.30per pick14cpaid+663.6%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xeac8…bca4backed No6c1,091$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.43771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+636.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes29c1,034$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.484440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2a…a023backed No72c984$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes29c906.9$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.95125.5%13 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No5c866$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3815036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed No35c823.32$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.22055%11 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No6c795$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.740033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes27c736.27$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.486141%25 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34a2…b10bbacked Yes67c638.81$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.81862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No71c575.76$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.799055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfe4…5c4fbacked No72c500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-53.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x029c…0784backed No72c488$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No61c409.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503964.1%25 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No71c400$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.0915049.3%74 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff63…5aa1backed Yes29c400$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick39cpaid+127.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed No72c381.94$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5172…31e6backed Yes65c380.99$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c8d…673abacked No71c368.97$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.971822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-62%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x64ff…8f70backed Yes29c362.07$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.075940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No71c354.97$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.0317252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes28c350$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2527644.7%34 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8311037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes29c341.86$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.723562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked No71c340$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.413052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes28c326.07$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7716926%44 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No71c309$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.3922552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked No4c300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…964dbacked No8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241464.3%9 W · 5 L+8.1wins+0.58per pick6cpaid+977.1%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xa0b3…6bfcbacked No66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1982161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes28c289.67$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.5114854.1%80 W · 68 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No60c272.65$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.5125248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No71c272.31$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.349044.4%40 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No20c269.14$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.253946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No72c250$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804452.3%23 W · 21 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick69cpaid-25.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No72c240.97$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.54259.5%25 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Yes28c232$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.045650%28 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No45c228.65$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2355941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Yes28c210$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.22147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+58.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes26c207.85$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.814936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082532%8 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a9c…5480backed No72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked No72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1448550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No72c183.88$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.393636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No71c177$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.6718152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes28c175$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.712925.6%33 W · 96 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad1b…5da0backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.412846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.416731.3%21 W · 46 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6653…4f3dbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.415232.7%17 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes28c172.35$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7353242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…ccc2backed Yes38c168.42$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.42933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca96…a629backed No31c161.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.29425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a5f…3670backed Yes40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes28c150$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10842458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed No35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.52941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd42b…dac8backed Yes67c149.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.452152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+78.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2212…b427backed Yes34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.067853.8%42 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.935052%26 W · 24 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick68cpaid-27.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes39c141.03$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.033522.9%8 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66c9…2e68backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5665…21dabacked Yes29c131.03$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.03875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+70.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No71c130.49$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6515250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35af…45bfbacked Yes80c125.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Yes40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756639.4%26 W · 40 L-8.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-25.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No71c123$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3335054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No71c122$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6211448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No71c122$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6229053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No71c113.1$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.353246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed No34c109.83$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.093256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+79.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No71c108$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6829053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No62c102.94$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6929946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked No71c100.01$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.264158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7123855.9%133 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1430956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.