TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$201,870
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$212,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,870 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes57c44,102$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes51c40,071$20,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,372.2830634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No47c39,963$18,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,044.6212648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,80017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes49c18,286$8,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,960.389450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c17,799$7,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,086.593,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No48c11,360$5,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,928.815337.7%20 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e8…096dbacked No49c10,090$4,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,145.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc64a…f9bdbacked Yes51c10,090$5,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,145.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes56c9,444$5,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,282.98243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No47c7,575$3,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,997.321,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No55c6,214$3,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,825.914,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No48c5,204$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,705.858940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…5e12backed No52c3,865$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,845.511181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick56cpaid+43.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed Yes3c3,102$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.17175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No45c3,024$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.821957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No46c2,586$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.0215851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Yes3c2,266$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.522810.7%3 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No42c2,214$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.2428055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes74c2,068$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.3355941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…f2c2backed Yes55c2,025$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbebb…1465backed Yes57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+92.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c8…e4f7backed No78c1,604$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.93100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No50c1,584$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.0522552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a2…b10bbacked Yes53c1,409$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.47862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed No20c1,400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.991747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No49c1,242$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.6229053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No38c1,146$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.698940.4%36 W · 53 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes32c1,073$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3403636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4eb…5857backed Yes41c1,039$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4232030%6 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b98…aa35backed Yes80c1,025$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.686561.5%40 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes54c1,020$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.1411056.4%62 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.042835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.5910441.3%43 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Yes51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f3…48e4backed Yes51c886.82$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.37450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes51c862.75$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4404440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No48c832.87$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.0938729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes56c715.25$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007054.3%38 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes52c673.08$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504540%18 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x708d…2b38backed Yes23c649.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-70.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed No48c619.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.922955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…0dd9backed No44c600.15$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.284334.9%15 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+52.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29435054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No51c599.98$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.9915250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No50c532$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.3827652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No59c519.78$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.839557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes21c475.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004845.8%22 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No50c474.69$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No53c457.78$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.5829946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Yes34c455.89$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15413958.3%81 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2a…2f37backed Yes55c444.86$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.481070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No50c439.8$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.131751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x859a…f863backed Yes51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-66.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07ec…ba9fbacked Yes55c352.73$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick55cpaid-55%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes43c345.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505644.6%25 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…ccc2backed Yes51c344.12$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dd…ea96backed No46c332.2$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.392462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No43c326$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.826860.3%41 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes53c313$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.895939%23 W · 36 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No78c305.89$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0321842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes80c300$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24022859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No49c284.55$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.3479133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes35c282.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009154.9%50 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes30c270$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5417744.1%78 W · 99 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed No50c252.5$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.252962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1406235.5%22 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No49c240$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.443255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No51c240$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.614244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No42c213.46$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1239545.3%43 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No50c210$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10517648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes50c205.96$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10217643.8%77 W · 99 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020047.5%95 W · 105 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-30.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Yes42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8422540.4%91 W · 134 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x693c…a7edbacked Yes51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026845.6%31 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes41c199.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8215940.3%64 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa6…0b3bbacked No45c199.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb1…52f3backed Yes23c196.35$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.16520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-67.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No46c196.29$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7125248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No48c192.68$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.19353.8%50 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ad…6b4cbacked Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001662.5%10 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4fe…7365backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b3…07f2backed Yes27c185.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502060%12 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes33c182.07$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.799134.1%31 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9416…9d2cbacked Yes55c181.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9029053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4a1…4799backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes72c178.56$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.419652.6%103 W · 93 L-15.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12f7…ff1fbacked Yes17c170.02$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.22729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…a78cbacked No77c167.05$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.71127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2551…5d7abacked Yes9c161.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No21c158.33$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0823250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No52c154.79$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.974457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Yes54c149.97$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.984847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfca6…9553backed No51c144.92$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.48850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9070…b3dfbacked No21c143.52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+138.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes54c129.89$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010437.5%39 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.