La Liga · resolved market
Will Albacete Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d6c85f8dce23689a888db05afd91a3f4518c0270a14e940815960e87c630720
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 28c | 928.57$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.57 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 813.68$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.11 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 51c | 798.21$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.48 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 29c | 402.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.87 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 77c | 336.57$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.21 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 26c | 231.84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.44 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.22 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.29 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 45c | 189.32$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Yes | 25c | 186$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked No | 11c | 167.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 156.05$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.96 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 72c | 140.48$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.15 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 72c | 133.18$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 66c | 114$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 14c | 102$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Yes | 31c | 82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.33per pick | 40cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 72c | 74.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Yes | 25c | 66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 75c | 62.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed Yes | 58c | 60.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 69c | 55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 74c | 53.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 73c | 53.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 33c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed No | 75c | 41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed No | 75c | 38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed No | 75c | 37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 66c | 36.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed No | 75c | 36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…7bb3backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed No | 75c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked No | 69c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed No | 75c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 57c | 18.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albacete Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?this page
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2025-12-17?No won
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.