La Liga · resolved market
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2025-12-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39e228720cf4c2514d976e436ed808f22d8e33ee02c6e1e9cbed61d15effdb39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked No | 72c | 10,367$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.74 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…7fdcbacked No | 78c | 4,661$3,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 20c | 4,328$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.34 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 3,463$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.08 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 20c | 2,825$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.01 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,891$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.04 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 1,237$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.41 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 36c | 876.01$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.99 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 25c | 776.7$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.52 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…6e5cbacked No | 53c | 560.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 54c | 500$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.98 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 23c | 445.19$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.18 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 17c | 300.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked No | 54c | 224$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 215.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked No | 62c | 211.51$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 48c | 208.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.14 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 38c | 201.37$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.93 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 36c | 197.57$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked No | 57c | 175.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.88 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 23c | 175.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb522…0841backed Yes | 23c | 159.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Yes | 24c | 155$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked No | 78c | 127.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked No | 75c | 99.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 25c | 97.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…8398backed Yes | 22c | 91.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 23c | 89.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Yes | 23c | 88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 77c | 83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 18c | 70.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 23c | 65.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c17…ee47backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked No | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes | 21c | 62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Yes | 22c | 62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 25c | 60.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Yes | 21c | 57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 36c | 46.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed No | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd965…7abfbacked No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…584dbacked No | 55c | 37.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed No | 76c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked No | 76c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked No | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed No | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…bd4bbacked Yes | 46c | 24.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 56c | 20.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed No | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked No | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d0…27d9backed Yes | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2025-12-17?this page
- Will Albacete Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?Yes won
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.