Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-29?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dc73c6463aa7da2cce49b38d21ae042fa3862f24ec80428d2c797185a4913fd

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 29, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $245,875
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $336,140

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,875 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked No	74c	89,726$66,804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,921.48	89	62.9%56 W · 33 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes	25c	52,051$12,897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,897.38	248	46.8%116 W · 132 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes	38c	20,000$7,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,600	319	47.6%152 W · 167 L	+10.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	67c	19,751$13,196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,554.73	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	25c	17,500$4,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,450	356	52.8%188 W · 168 L	+15.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	25c	15,428$3,845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,845.11	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No	62c	7,581$4,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,880.6	308	51.3%158 W · 150 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes	59c	2,524$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No	42c	2,500$1,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,450	100	50%50 W · 50 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes	26c	1,857$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.97	1,163	57.4%667 W · 496 L	+40.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes	58c	1,727$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	81	45.7%37 W · 44 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes	27c	1,689$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.91	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes	43c	1,503$639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$638.85	1,224	40%490 W · 734 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Yes	58c	1,200$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$696	55	60%33 W · 22 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No	69c	1,100$759 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.99	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Yes	58c	1,000$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	-6.3wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-16%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No	64c	830$529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.9	111	62.2%69 W · 42 L	+10.1wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes	61c	819.67$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	99	46.5%46 W · 53 L	-6.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes	58c	577.28$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.51	1,204	50.7%610 W · 594 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes	26c	554.14$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.83	104	33.7%35 W · 69 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes	59c	510$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.9	149	43%64 W · 85 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes	25c	457.41$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.9	1,264	33.7%426 W · 838 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No	70c	451.06$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.01	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes	16c	409.38$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.78	423	24.3%103 W · 320 L	-36.4wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-47%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	61c	408.35$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.01	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes	9c	400$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Yes	58c	400$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes	57c	365.25$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.88	164	53.7%88 W · 76 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes	57c	355.36$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.56	584	45.9%268 W · 316 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked No	65c	307.38$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.58	82	43.9%36 W · 46 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8dd…ec86backed No	41c	250$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.5	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed No	41c	243.9$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.9	86	62.8%54 W · 32 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes	21c	236$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.08	577	44.4%256 W · 321 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed No	41c	225$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	138	44.9%62 W · 76 L	+9.9wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Yes	31c	202.34$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.48	104	48.1%50 W · 54 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Yes	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	63	25.4%16 W · 47 L	-5.8wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes	24c	200$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	115	33.9%39 W · 76 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes	59c	200$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	51	54.9%28 W · 23 L	+5.0wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2c3…0e32backed Yes	61c	175.41$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes	58c	172.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed Yes	58c	171.51$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	-5.8wins	-0.10per pick	59cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes	60c	167.36$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	82	37.8%31 W · 51 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde77…8cd3backed Yes	37c	162.16$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed No	43c	150$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.5	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+8.3wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes	27c	145.51$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.4	307	39.4%121 W · 186 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked No	40c	125$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No	52c	121.38$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.4	219	65.3%143 W · 76 L	+20.8wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+19%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x28e7…7384backed Yes	58c	120$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a72…e01fbacked Yes	36c	112.01$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	328	22.3%73 W · 255 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	208	40.9%85 W · 123 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No	41c	100$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	179	55.3%99 W · 80 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4977…8fd6backed No	42c	100$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed No	42c	89$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.62	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Yes	58c	87$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.46	97	53.6%52 W · 45 L	-7.5wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5351…a045backed Yes	58c	86$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.88	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed No	42c	82$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.56	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	351	34.8%122 W · 229 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed No	43c	77$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.89	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	89	25.8%23 W · 66 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed No	44c	70$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.2	58	44.8%26 W · 32 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a41…145fbacked No	76c	65.79$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.79	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked Yes	30c	65.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.62	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed No	43c	64$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.48	24	75%18 W · 6 L	+4.5wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ccb…a193backed No	65c	63.08$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.08	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	57c	63$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.91	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec94…931ebacked No	43c	62$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.34	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No	71c	60$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.4	891	52.9%471 W · 420 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Yes	25c	54.47$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.62	175	49.1%86 W · 89 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Yes	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	-12.8wins	-0.18per pick	48cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x749b…48d8backed Yes	57c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.62	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.28per pick	56cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed No	42c	44.86$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.1	94	43.6%41 W · 53 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes	57c	43.86$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	148	44.6%66 W · 82 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Yes	26c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc133…81ebbacked Yes	57c	35.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-5.5wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-36%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No	43c	34.88$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.88	289	50.9%147 W · 142 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes	58c	34.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	77	53.2%41 W · 36 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ee…5d12backed Yes	58c	34$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.72	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98be…51d9backed Yes	59c	33.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	56	37.5%21 W · 35 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x370a…cccebacked Yes	57c	32$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.24	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x711d…fe4bbacked Yes	57c	32$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.24	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa01c…0c8fbacked Yes	60c	29.58$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5956…e127backed Yes	58c	29$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.82	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	62cpaid	-22%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed No	41c	28.98$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.1	120	48.3%58 W · 62 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92bf…0297backed Yes	57c	27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.39	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fe1…e560backed Yes	58c	26$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.08	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-3.5wins	-0.14per pick	60cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xecaa…af09backed Yes	57c	19$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.83	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	57c	18$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed No	66c	16.12$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.48	96	50%48 W · 48 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-29?this page
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-29?Yes won
Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-29?

What this market resolved to

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