Premier League · resolved market
Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa149d187b3fc8ab8c30a57efa5902cac61f53171e797f965582acaa2498d59bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 5,210$3,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.1 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 30c | 3,260$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 1,673$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.76 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,378$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.87 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Yes | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 71c | 662.1$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.04 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 647.61$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.32 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 24c | 530$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 76c | 432.1$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 33c | 362.16$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.59 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 25c | 328$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…c3abbacked Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 17c | 245$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6038…2130backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 28c | 160$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 24c | 158.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 68c | 118.63$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Yes | 34c | 114.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 69c | 111.71$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 20c | 86.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 24c | 72.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…99f7backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa73c…4044backed No | 69c | 62.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e74…32c3backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 76c | 29.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed No | 68c | 21.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 161 | 36.6%59 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e9…d882backed No | 75c | 19.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?this page
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-29?Yes won
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.