TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,113
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,491

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,113 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No40c50,000$20,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,199.9731947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes41c11,403$4,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,780.5235652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes53c9,721$5,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,560.621,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No60c8,647$5,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,157.336,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No29c7,840$2,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,234.964,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes80c4,960$3,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.9827750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Yes36c4,470$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,868.922948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes19c3,915$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,171.1519239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae11…b96bbacked Yes40c3,779$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,269.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes40c3,393$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04424846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes56c3,259$1,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.963164.5%20 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No74c3,100$2,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,305.131,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6e57…21cbbacked Yes35c2,429$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.572263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes19c2,179$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,765.2810050%50 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Yes44c2,167$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.852839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04025836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes59c1,534$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.093655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No52c1,225$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.9610768.2%73 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked No54c1,064$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.468243.9%36 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x128a…f49ebacked Yes57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.052070%14 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2006956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9db…a30ebacked Yes73c952.58$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.585100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a4f…5459backed Yes80c867.86$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.57580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Yes35c788.57$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.571330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No40c661.46$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.5110433.7%35 W · 69 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc67b…c149backed Yes61c656.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.331942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Yes62c598.01$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.7910448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd382…8885backed Yes50c587.7$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.852259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30014544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked No58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2902839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06eb…1a5fbacked No66c454.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002850%14 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Yes35c454.29$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.296262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe096…9779backed Yes35c428.57$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.574052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No27c417.8$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.341,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes20c314.85$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.8816346.6%76 W · 87 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes46c313.06$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.922,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed No51c300$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes36c278.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.016636.4%24 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac2a…7418backed Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.78616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No59c270$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.711,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked No38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009344.1%41 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes20c263$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.41,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20018646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6894…3a44backed No36c237.58$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.531442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes55c208.65$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1521965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes62c204$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4467042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes64c199$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7443241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7b6…31e9backed Yes37c162.16$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+41.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ae7…cf61backed Yes67c159$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.47875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes69c145.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8434643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes41c133.59$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9611446.5%53 W · 61 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0284…8384backed Yes43c131.81$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.751942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa469…e73fbacked Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed Yes80c123.87$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.772857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No46c118.06$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8542324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked No45c110.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503959%23 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Yes56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.148365.1%54 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes58c106.66$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.810130.7%31 W · 70 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No57c99.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9929158.4%170 W · 121 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed No51c96.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497632.9%25 W · 51 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a41…145fbacked Yes43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.021154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28f7…614cbacked No65c84.4$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.86520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa04…d609backed Yes35c71.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.43540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9724062.5%150 W · 90 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x383c…d1b8backed Yes74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.57887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick65cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x056b…491cbacked Yes48c66.88$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.92045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98be…51d9backed Yes20c65$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525637.5%21 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked No32c63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1615740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Yes31c61.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.565339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No26c59.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3717549.1%86 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked No51c58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.587129.6%21 W · 50 L-12.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-38.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked No71c56.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402556%14 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+57.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf395…ac0abacked Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.28475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.288438.1%32 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb2…e33fbacked Yes56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221090%9 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick57cpaid+72.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409045.6%41 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c82…c8ccbacked Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+128.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked No50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4029735.4%105 W · 192 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3481…6b3cbacked Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406749.3%33 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaad1…d674backed Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3518…9664backed No53c48.51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.513145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1cf…f5aebacked No53c43.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.141729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2f6…afe5backed No27c41.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.381145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf5d…ed2bbacked Yes80c41.48$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes51c41.07$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.259650%48 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6af1…0b91backed No58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202630.8%8 W · 18 L-7.0wins-0.27per pick58cpaid-51.6%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed No63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23ea…fbf2backed Yes50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed No80c28.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7227173.8%200 W · 71 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick76cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed0…7ad5backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x932e…6f5abacked Yes73c25.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.85162.7%32 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No49c23.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2430739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Yes57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.620958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4473…c215backed Yes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109055.6%50 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b51…7292backed Yes63c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.293100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes80c16.89$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4418251.6%94 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes80c16.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.2661441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.