TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x23ea…fbf2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst College Football at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30.94
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+66.6%+$13.98
Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+41%+$8.21
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+257.1%+$38.57
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+170.3%+$25.54
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$10.13
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+161.2%+$34.16
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+177.8%+$21.33
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$11.65
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+163.2%+$24.47
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+59.2%+$71.06
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+31.6%+$18.32
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+92%+$49.66
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Suns vs. Wizardsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$6.65
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+43.9%+$17.54
Pistons vs. Jazzbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+57.1%+$45.64
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-80.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stranger Things: Season 5 have more than 75 million views the week of the finale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Robin Buckley die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Scott Clarke die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+59.5%+$41.05
All 8 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+87.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-35.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+53.1%+$26.01
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+33%+$26.39
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+45.6%+$5.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+136.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 2–6 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+136.7%+$73.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+78.6%+$47.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team zoneR vs Team buster (BO3)backed Team zoneR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.