NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaafbad55d94eedac8dbd28fc6ac82a798ab74ea861f86396fa985e26cd440730
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $393,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $400,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Capitals | 47c | 115,158$54,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,033.69 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…e56abacked Capitals | 47c | 101,017$47,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,048.45 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Devils | 53c | 78,595$41,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,655.52 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Devils | 53c | 70,648$37,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,443.57 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Devils | 53c | 47,500$25,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,150.25 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Capitals | 47c | 41,530$19,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,010.68 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…6b51backed Devils | 53c | 30,578$16,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,206.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Devils | 52c | 17,299$8,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,995.67 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Devils | 52c | 15,165$7,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,885.9 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Capitals | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Devils | 53c | 11,929$6,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,315.77 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Capitals | 47c | 10,600$4,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,618 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Devils | 53c | 7,856$4,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,163.5 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Devils | 52c | 5,162$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.24 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Capitals | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Devils | 53c | 4,700$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Devils | 52c | 3,686$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.41 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 46c | 3,547$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.54 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Capitals | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Devils | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Devils | 53c | 2,978$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.27 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Devils | 50c | 2,956$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.61 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Capitals | 47c | 2,647$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.14 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Capitals | 47c | 2,566$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.17 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Devils | 1c | 2,555$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Devils | 4c | 2,400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Devils | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Devils | 52c | 2,085$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.36 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Devils | 39c | 2,029$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.52 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Devils | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Capitals | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…417cbacked Capitals | 48c | 1,897$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b0…5d36backed Devils | 53c | 1,897$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Capitals | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.88 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Devils | 15c | 1,385$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.95 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Devils | 52c | 1,341$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.19 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Capitals | 48c | 1,297$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Capitals | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Capitals | 47c | 1,101$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.39 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Capitals | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Devils | 53c | 1,057$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.45 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Devils | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Devils | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Capitals | 50c | 994.14$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.14 | 47 | 78.7%37 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Devils | 52c | 962$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.24 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Capitals | 47c | 896$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.88 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Capitals | 47c | 829$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.37 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…3891backed Capitals | 48c | 690$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.8 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ec…0ce2backed Devils | 53c | 670$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.1 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…bac1backed Devils | 53c | 650$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Capitals | 47c | 639$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.67 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Capitals | 47c | 639$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…543cbacked Capitals | 48c | 630$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Capitals | 48c | 620$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.4 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Devils | 53c | 600$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Devils | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa609…a3d9backed Capitals | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…2481backed Devils | 53c | 600$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcda…4f1dbacked Devils | 53c | 583.16$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Devils | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 70c | 558.73$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Capitals | 47c | 553.19$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.19 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Devils | 45c | 510.68$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.11 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Capitals | 47c | 500.02$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.01 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Devils | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Devils | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Capitals | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Capitals | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Devils | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Capitals | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Capitals | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Capitals | 50c | 473.67$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.06 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Devils | 3c | 470.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Capitals | 48c | 462.5$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.5 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Capitals | 49c | 419.76$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.08 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Capitals | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Capitals | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Capitals | 56c | 416$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.65 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Devils | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…230ebacked Capitals | 51c | 392.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Devils | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Devils | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Devils | 54c | 333.33$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Capitals | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Devils | 27c | 319$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Devils | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Devils | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed Capitals | 47c | 295.28$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.5 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…4f77backed Capitals | 48c | 287.71$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.61 | 386 | 45.1%174 W · 212 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Devils | 40c | 265.21$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.88 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Capitals | 53c | 264.78$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Capitals | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Devils | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Capitals | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Devils | 52c | 240$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…d6a3backed Devils | 53c | 225$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Capitals | 47c | 223.4$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Capitals | 55c | 218.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.32 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…7fc7backed Capitals | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…d049backed Capitals | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Devilsthis page
- Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.