TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Rangers vs. Islanders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Islandersof Rangers, Islanders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,456,996
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,576,784

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,456,996 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 479 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33f6…e0debacked Islanders49c800,927$392,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408,100.391668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+40.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Rangers52c645,406$334,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334,164.2520354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Rangers50c217,679$109,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109,005.688151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98f7…b3e4backed Rangers50c112,366$55,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,950.6610753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Islanders48c30,000$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,60025449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Islanders48c27,500$13,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,4251,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Islanders48c27,083$13,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,054.092,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Islanders51c25,830$13,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,553.6344848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Rangers50c25,000$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,50042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Islanders50c23,543$11,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,666.067850%39 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers49c23,083$11,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,206.631,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rangers50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00019555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Islanders49c18,888$9,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,632.8821850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Rangers50c16,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Islanders50c15,300$7,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,69951452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Islanders48c13,164$6,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,845.1747951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Rangers25c11,328$2,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,816.611,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Islanders48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Rangers18c9,131$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.4157157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Islanders49c8,600$4,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,38615749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Islanders73c8,250$6,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.511745.3%53 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Rangers50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00012245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Islanders52c7,427$3,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,597.191,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Rangers50c6,604$3,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,302.0193953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rangers10c6,387$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.12,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Islanders49c6,100$2,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,137.9851044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Islanders52c5,639$2,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,722.751,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Rangers23c5,628$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.6338738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Rangers11c5,541$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.8829926.4%79 W · 220 L-20.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Islanders49c5,376$2,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,741.7613147.3%62 W · 69 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Islanders49c5,021$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,560.7124654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Islanders51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45031654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Rangers52c4,750$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,47023642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Islanders51c4,409$2,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,175.91,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Islanders60c4,345$2,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.431,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Islanders51c4,160$2,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,038.46653%35 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Islanders60c4,027$2,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.8218262.1%113 W · 69 L+15.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Rangers49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96024945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed30…f821backed Islanders51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.57742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Islanders49c3,921$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,986.0726955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Islanders49c3,673$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.2379350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Rangers48c3,333$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.7686649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Islanders51c3,064$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.18843.2%38 W · 50 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Rangers50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Islanders50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50028652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Rangers51c2,941$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.8633243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Islanders51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22539752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Rangers50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25025552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Islanders48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30084953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Islanders52c2,460$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.8911243.8%49 W · 63 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Rangers48c2,394$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.121,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Islanders50c2,291$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.941,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rangers35c2,232$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.332,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Rangers1c2,222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.227450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Rangers50c2,200$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1007750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Islanders66c2,111$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7206958%40 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Islanders52c2,080$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.8554047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Islanders47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0602740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4099…4f2abacked Rangers33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd868…c947backed Islanders52c1,990$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f80…291ebacked Rangers48c1,990$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7426…7c1cbacked Islanders51c1,938$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.54666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b4f…37b8backed Rangers32c1,845$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.271030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bec…ec0bbacked Rangers50c1,809$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.48520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-68.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Rangers36c1,731$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6305752.6%30 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Rangers52c1,731$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90028152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rangers51c1,630$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.2461959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rangers50c1,601$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.2689547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Rangers48c1,481$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.0468449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4a6…6d23backed Islanders50c1,438$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.6528853.1%153 W · 135 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Islanders52c1,417$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.9813850.7%70 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Islanders51c1,401$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.7269550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Islanders52c1,333$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.691,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2838…bc2fbacked Rangers35c1,300$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3846…f034backed Islanders65c1,300$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Islanders47c1,269$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.839047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Islanders47c1,265$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.451,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Rangers50c1,181$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.420552.2%107 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders48c1,065$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.211,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6927…8d9cbacked Rangers48c1,050$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Islanders74c1,020$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.731,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe548…a51abacked Rangers35c1,016$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.59742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Islanders51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.2460249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Rangers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Rangers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007157.7%41 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Islanders51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49011253.6%60 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Islanders50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5009353.8%50 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Islanders50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50012648.4%61 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Rangers49c999.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9925446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85f8…8fe1backed Islanders67c999.95$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rangers10c978.13$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.811,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Islanders51c935.62$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.041,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Islanders52c923$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.049052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Islanders51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39263249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x657c…0cc5backed Rangers51c755.97$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.67633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rangers50c755.04$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.452,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rangers10c727.29$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.731,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Islanders49c700$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35738046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked Rangers50c691.96$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.113448.5%65 W · 69 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d56…d1b1backed Rangers48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.