NHL · resolved market
Rangers vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8eb6cbf366cd41733541d0d53ef5b9e57532a0107b4e766ebdabaefc4249a3dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Under | 54c | 15,793$8,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,232.98 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 4,937$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.09 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 2,028$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.69 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 52c | 1,920$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.55 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over | 48c | 1,728$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.39 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 1,222$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.22 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 45c | 1,095$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.74 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 48c | 796$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.08 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 45c | 778$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.1 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 46c | 733$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.18 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 52c | 578$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.44 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 51c | 528.16$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.8 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 51c | 443.95$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.53 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 46c | 240$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa224…4cb8backed Under | 53c | 199.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 54c | 108.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 45c | 95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Over | 50c | 87.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 46c | 72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 46c | 72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Over | 47c | 59.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 51c | 55.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 46c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 46c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 46c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 46.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 46c | 43.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 53c | 37.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 189 | 46%87 W · 102 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 190 | 46.8%89 W · 101 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…6003backed Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Over | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 47c | 28.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 46c | 25.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 46c | 24.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5this page
- Rangers vs. IslandersIslanders won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Islanders won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.