NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda3bfa90961c0faca78cd7ac72b47d5f687677f8051bd1c9d72149d7644d7339
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Flyers, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $378,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $406,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $378,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Flames | 56c | 109,685$61,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,332.35 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flyers | 46c | 40,870$18,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,955.87 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flames | 52c | 22,670$11,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,881.57 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Flyers | 44c | 22,025$9,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,691 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Flyers | 44c | 18,554$8,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,175.7 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Flyers | 25c | 14,772$3,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,672.1 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Flyers | 2c | 12,398$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.96 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Flyers | 44c | 10,709$4,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,712.08 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Flyers | 10c | 10,701$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.13 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Flyers | 24c | 10,383$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.28 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Flyers | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Flyers | 44c | 9,466$4,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,165.04 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flames | 72c | 9,066$6,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.68 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Flames | 76c | 8,709$6,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.22 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flames | 76c | 8,425$6,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.22 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Flyers | 30c | 8,251$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Flyers | 44c | 7,331$3,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,247.42 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Flames | 77c | 6,776$5,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.05 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Flyers | 45c | 5,556$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Flyers | 26c | 5,496$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.94 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Flames | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flyers | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…2bacbacked Flyers | 16c | 4,745$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.56 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5e…e87cbacked Flames | 78c | 3,578$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flyers | 21c | 3,536$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.52 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flyers | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Flyers | 27c | 3,285$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.1 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flyers | 44c | 2,763$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.75 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Flyers | 27c | 2,757$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.23 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…3f8bbacked Flames | 56c | 2,636$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Flames | 71c | 2,635$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.7 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…8db1backed Flyers | 44c | 2,617$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Flyers | 17c | 2,617$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.38 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Flyers | 0c | 2,491$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…d9f5backed Flames | 77c | 2,420$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Flames | 56c | 2,029$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.71 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Flames | 58c | 1,726$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.43 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Flyers | 12c | 1,712$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.12 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Flames | 56c | 1,668$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.81 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Flyers | 8c | 1,650$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Flyers | 44c | 1,614$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Flyers | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Flames | 55c | 1,494$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.45 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Flyers | 10c | 1,440$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.49 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Flyers | 31c | 1,294$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Flyers | 1c | 1,222$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Flyers | 25c | 1,175$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.8 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Flyers | 24c | 1,115$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.68 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Flames | 67c | 1,026$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.19 | 153 | 60.8%93 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…7713backed Flames | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e1…dc3ebacked Flames | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…b323backed Flyers | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Flyers | 23c | 980.41$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.05 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Flames | 61c | 941.5$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.38 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Flames | 56c | 910.71$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.71 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Flyers | 43c | 895$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.85 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa21a…c0c6backed Flames | 75c | 828.48$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Flyers | 44c | 815.27$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.72 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Flyers | 44c | 790$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.6 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed Flyers | 45c | 782.22$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Flyers | 3c | 764.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Flyers | 15c | 761.74$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.64 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Flames | 73c | 730.15$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Flames | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 73c | 665.57$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.76 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Flyers | 23c | 660.62$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.38 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Flames | 55c | 549$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.05 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Flames | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Flyers | 39c | 544.41$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Flyers | 44c | 530$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.2 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Flames | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Flyers | 44c | 522.2$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.77 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Flyers | 21c | 505.79$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.56 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Flames | 73c | 499.61$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.45 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Flyers | 26c | 460$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Flyers | 45c | 455.8$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.11 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Flames | 52c | 452.21$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.06 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Flyers | 21c | 425.88$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…aca5backed Flyers | 25c | 415.77$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 74c | 402.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.16 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Flames | 67c | 394.49$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.05 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Flyers | 43c | 385.4$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.72 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Flames | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf540…cc07backed Flyers | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ea…f2dabacked Flames | 56c | 354.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.01 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Flames | 57c | 352$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.36 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…3e75backed Flyers | 12c | 334.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…f6b4backed Flyers | 31c | 324.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 349 | 41.3%144 W · 205 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Flyers | 13c | 309.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Flyers | 44c | 300.03$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.01 | 589 | 47%277 W · 312 L | -23.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Flyers | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Flyers | 44c | 297.8$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.63 | 535 | 46.4%248 W · 287 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e6…3363backed Flyers | 31c | 273.57$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb3…ce7cbacked Flames | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Flyers | 45c | 256$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.07 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Flames | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Flyers | 15c | 236.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Flyers | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Flyers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Flyers | 44c | 220.76$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Flamesthis page
- Flyers vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Flames (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.