TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,248,578
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,489,608

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,248,578 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 704 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Yes48c120,847$57,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,873.648962.9%56 W · 33 L+0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No52c115,000$59,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,799.8718950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No39c112,602$43,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,769.896,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78c6…4710backed Yes64c70,000$45,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,927.332010%2 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-79.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No52c69,995$36,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,397.2614450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes48c66,179$31,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,508.191,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No50c51,014$25,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,7262,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa43a…aa76backed Yes49c39,935$19,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,479.78837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes48c33,333$16,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,333.335628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No53c29,451$15,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,608.955271.2%37 W · 15 L+9.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+33.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe74a…40eebacked Yes66c28,470$18,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,725.631861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No53c25,000$13,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,25031947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed Yes47c21,992$10,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,656.012661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+30.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No53c21,765$11,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,535.6515949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No52c21,435$11,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,146.0824846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No52c20,372$10,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,580.8835941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes48c20,035$9,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,418.4210737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked No52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,399.966137.7%23 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18dd…c89cbacked Yes48c16,141$7,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,393.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No52c15,303$7,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,957.5830851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes48c15,000$7,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,85018948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd836…ea78backed Yes48c15,000$7,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,749.973540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No31c14,500$4,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,494.9820140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No51c12,209$6,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2631,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No52c12,007$6,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,243.521,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes63c11,965$7,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,433.372544%11 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6603…959ebacked Yes49c10,987$5,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,627.68425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No44c10,584$4,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,624.582,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No51c10,000$5,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,149.9324146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.921154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes46c9,549$4,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,142.6113727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No21c9,210$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.0656453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3910…a66dbacked No53c8,243$4,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,36920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No52c8,028$4,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,145.485754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No7c7,727$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.9210042%42 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Yes48c7,309$3,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,800.592445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes77c7,155$5,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.4667042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Yes64c7,000$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5206435.9%23 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03b7…430cbacked Yes47c6,400$3,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3921457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe137…0c01backed Yes47c6,321$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,320.634438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Yes48c6,250$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2503333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked No54c6,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,24010148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked No52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1203748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,059.9946551.8%241 W · 224 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No53c5,891$3,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,122.0835652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No51c5,522$2,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,824.438747.1%41 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No52c5,223$2,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,716.185054%27 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6006857.4%39 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6009845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9737054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes48c4,972$2,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,577.091,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No52c4,756$2,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,473.225752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No53c4,597$2,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,436.413473.5%25 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No36c4,543$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.6513829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes70c4,286$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.7112345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes47c4,211$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.9914544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e8e…c986backed Yes48c4,179$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,179.47844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No51c4,119$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.5314254.2%77 W · 65 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2f5…3092backed Yes64c4,047$2,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+67%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4c…37a3backed Yes49c4,041$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,060.76966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No51c4,000$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,059.9990751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed No52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.968531.8%27 W · 58 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes69c3,944$2,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.5525225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No45c3,562$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.4940150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes54c3,530$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.719729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Yes45c3,333$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.337632.9%25 W · 51 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No26c3,299$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.1142043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Yes47c3,191$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.498854.5%48 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07a9…32c8backed Yes48c3,125$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.9620448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…8d92backed Yes54c2,739$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bce…150bbacked No10c2,673$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.4880%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes47c2,499$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.719646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked No53c2,406$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2755947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No53c2,264$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2009250%46 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f86…2874backed Yes50c2,172$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.881931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67e7…52cabacked Yes47c2,127$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.332458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e77…788dbacked Yes48c2,090$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.032133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No38c2,063$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.5349753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No52c2,055$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.5872249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed No52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0406046.7%28 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0005957.6%34 W · 25 L+8.6wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+45%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4b73…7421backed Yes48c1,832$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.651241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes48c1,708$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.129044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No51c1,667$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85049254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No42c1,547$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.941,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Yes47c1,527$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.3412441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Yes48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.322748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed No37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5556660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Yes48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7806051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb4…96b0backed Yes47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.991442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.9931053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.9933057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9db…41cbbacked No45c1,496$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No35c1,493$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52841344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No53c1,461$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.1441437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafdc…c2a2backed No53c1,430$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No52c1,379$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.5325551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Yes47c1,374$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.472839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.