Movies · resolved market
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x311b18d1f858118f17ba9a15ae597878ef4e13098986462373a17dadb8d58c86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $619,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $728,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $619,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 695 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53bf…bc10backed No | 40c | 52,446$21,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,214.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed No | 25c | 50,521$12,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,531.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked No | 26c | 25,033$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,479.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…99ebbacked Yes | 80c | 14,317$11,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.37 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked Yes | 74c | 12,559$9,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,279.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 64c | 11,519$7,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,167.68 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed No | 19c | 11,477$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.93 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x491a…27ccbacked No | 20c | 11,170$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7119…7132backed Yes | 75c | 10,696$7,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,702.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 15c | 9,569$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.09 | 140 | 15%21 W · 119 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefc1…dfcdbacked Yes | 65c | 9,522$6,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,338.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44d…ba3abacked Yes | 76c | 8,903$6,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…b788backed No | 34c | 8,599$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920.23 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 21c | 7,861$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.99 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x110f…8f39backed Yes | 79c | 6,764$5,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.5 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +8.7wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9b02…caa6backed Yes | 76c | 5,930$4,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 14c | 5,876$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.43 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 68c | 5,680$3,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.97 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed No | 19c | 5,000$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.84 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 52c | 4,804$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.23 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaf…4637backed Yes | 43c | 4,720$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 26c | 4,460$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.2 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7810…9c4dbacked No | 36c | 4,357$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 22c | 4,330$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.11 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…15e1backed No | 23c | 4,214$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.16 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +14.1wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…fbbfbacked Yes | 68c | 4,208$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed No | 28c | 4,147$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.73 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…5d20backed Yes | 73c | 4,125$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 22c | 4,000$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.99 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 17c | 3,700$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 23c | 3,634$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.06 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked No | 46c | 3,486$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Yes | 63c | 3,429$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.22 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked No | 36c | 3,392$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.63 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…79febacked No | 21c | 3,176$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…93fdbacked Yes | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…694dbacked Yes | 73c | 2,993$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed No | 19c | 2,933$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.43 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x594c…3399backed Yes | 76c | 2,931$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 15c | 2,903$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.28 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Yes | 54c | 2,885$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61d…f87cbacked Yes | 75c | 2,839$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945c…a489backed No | 60c | 2,796$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 28c | 2,791$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.25 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed Yes | 80c | 2,736$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684f…c3a7backed Yes | 78c | 2,662$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d26…3286backed Yes | 80c | 2,619$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Yes | 64c | 2,600$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef6c…8cc1backed No | 20c | 2,550$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88b…dba8backed Yes | 80c | 2,500$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…4141backed Yes | 74c | 2,500$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea96…11e3backed Yes | 49c | 2,500$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.64 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed No | 25c | 2,460$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…c8b0backed Yes | 78c | 2,401$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa9…1168backed Yes | 77c | 2,301$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…8769backed Yes | 60c | 2,280$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…e62abacked Yes | 80c | 2,243$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…53c1backed Yes | 51c | 2,206$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.51 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed Yes | 76c | 2,163$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34e6…cd63backed No | 13c | 2,121$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…d662backed Yes | 72c | 2,081$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 36c | 2,022$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.52 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8f…40cfbacked No | 10c | 2,020$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Yes | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed No | 19c | 2,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 80c | 1,970$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 18c | 1,930$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.75 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb8…7aa5backed Yes | 80c | 1,902$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…3ec9backed No | 6c | 1,900$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…0109backed No | 26c | 1,808$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked No | 25c | 1,800$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.79 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…a75fbacked No | 21c | 1,800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…a59fbacked Yes | 56c | 1,778$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Yes | 75c | 1,750$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.05 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 22c | 1,750$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.74 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4e…411abacked Yes | 76c | 1,730$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…befabacked Yes | 78c | 1,702$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x943b…fe84backed Yes | 79c | 1,671$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 73c | 1,594$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.2 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…0a6ebacked Yes | 71c | 1,525$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c58…7aebbacked Yes | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed Yes | 73c | 1,461$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked No | 25c | 1,453$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 16c | 1,445$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.86 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…3cefbacked No | 22c | 1,436$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c76…f995backed Yes | 59c | 1,394$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 41c | 1,389$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.05 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…c1c2backed Yes | 78c | 1,368$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…7cd3backed Yes | 79c | 1,277$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.93 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…1acdbacked No | 20c | 1,271$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9463…27c8backed Yes | 79c | 1,270$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…6a0cbacked No | 23c | 1,236$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked No | 13c | 1,226$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6f38backed Yes | 43c | 1,205$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…82b9backed Yes | 75c | 1,198$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,181$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.93 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 59c | 1,154$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)this page
- Will "Christmas Gameday: Cowboys vs. Commanders" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)No won
- Will "Christmas Gameday: Lions vs. Vikings" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)No won
- Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)No won
- Will "Man Vs. Baby" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.