TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc24f…1acd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: World Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 57 out of 100; worst Movies at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$145.92
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$25.65
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$140
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$44
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+156.4%+$61
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+25%+$20
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$61
Will Trump say "October 7th" 4+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
Will Trump say "Department of War" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" 20+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.6
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$42
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+105.8%+$51.56
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+25.6%+$26.39
Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+78.8%+$18.78
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.77
All 19 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.02
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.5
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.11
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$555.37
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+31.4%+$220.6
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$30
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Sam Altman say "Terminator" or "Movie" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+134.2%+$67.36
Will Sam Altman say "ChatGPT" 10+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+25%+$6
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+85.2%+$345
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+28.2%+$22
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$11
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$38.4
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.39
Will anyone say "Sam" or "Altman" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$293.16
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.9%+$101.02
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+111.9%+$58.1
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+38.6%+$195
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33%+$74.4
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+54.6%+$78.44
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by October 31backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+63.7%+$19.45
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+77.5%+$287.53
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$82
Yoon in jail before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$180.76
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-42.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Christmas Gameday: Lions vs. Vikings" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$62.89
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$253.3
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Will "David" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 32m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+206.7%+$62
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$97.41
Will "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $39m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$45.2
Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $29m and $34m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.29
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $78m and $85m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.33
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$787Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+47.8%+$376.37
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$84.7
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+61.3%+$152
Will Trump say "AUKUS" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+142%+$185.4
Will Trump say "Aussie" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+25%+$12
Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 7+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+62.5%+$12.5
US military action against Iran by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-46.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+67.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+86.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$40.88
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$77.51
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 4 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+61.3%+$76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$156.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$58.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.