Premier League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x749f2dae4e3476a2acf0a5342f891db7616e84a4fbae2f7224b5bfd3f04bddcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $496,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $503,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $496,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 41c | 342,324$140,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201,996.64 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -7.7wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 59c | 175,322$103,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,440.06 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 58,306$36,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,080.32 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 59c | 40,420$23,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,847.69 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Under | 59c | 25,000$14,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,750 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 23,929$14,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,301.11 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Under | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,800 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Under | 60c | 10,057$6,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,034.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 60c | 6,129$3,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,677.58 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 4,586$2,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,706.43 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…a9e9backed Over | 42c | 4,550$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.61 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 60c | 4,354$2,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.38 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.8 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 62c | 2,565$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.49 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Under | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e99…e794backed Under | 62c | 1,800$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Under | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 58c | 1,539$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +14.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.96 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 21c | 1,021$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.91 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 62c | 964.33$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Under | 53c | 948.51$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 38c | 924.36$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.36 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 62c | 708.22$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.78 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 29c | 668$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.89 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 6c | 590.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…99f6backed Under | 62c | 544.98$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Under | 62c | 484.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Under | 68c | 394.36$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.17 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 52c | 387.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.02 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 37c | 370$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…e601backed Under | 69c | 347.62$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…73a1backed Over | 41c | 342.46$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 46c | 337.54$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.93 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Under | 70c | 318.92$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.25 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Under | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…0380backed Under | 10c | 269.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 49c | 247$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.03 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 60c | 220$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Under | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7839…54cbbacked Under | 62c | 161.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed Under | 12c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Under | 61c | 159.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 44c | 158.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.97 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…1acdbacked Under | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 59c | 149.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Over | 42c | 144.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 48.8%83 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 45c | 138.45$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.41 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 36c | 132.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 61c | 130.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.12 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ac77backed Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 30cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 59c | 125$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 59c | 125$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 41c | 120.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.63 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 50cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 61c | 119.24$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 31c | 116.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.35 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…3512backed Over | 41c | 115.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +162.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 45c | 113.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 51c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…f041backed Over | 51c | 109.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 53c | 102$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Over | 18c | 99.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.39 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…c0acbacked Under | 53c | 93.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Over | 38c | 84.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Over | 41c | 80.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 165 | 58.8%97 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 61c | 65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Under | 66c | 60.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e1…eb3dbacked Under | 59c | 59.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00eb…339abacked Under | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d3…eb28backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.