MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x423159baa3988856f6be3eef99e85de8eba365d446f5eadffc036bc35a0574e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Orioles, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $329,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $340,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Rays | 51c | 128,871$65,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,363.13 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Orioles | 48c | 94,891$45,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,541.2 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Rays | 52c | 34,279$17,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,454.02 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Orioles | 48c | 30,571$14,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,668.53 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Orioles | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Orioles | 50c | 14,176$7,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,088.14 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rays | 52c | 12,232$6,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,871.24 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Orioles | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Orioles | 49c | 9,904$4,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,852.88 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 48c | 5,555$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.4 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Rays | 52c | 4,552$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.84 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 49c | 4,249$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.56 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Rays | 51c | 4,150$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.5 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 50c | 4,033$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.17 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Rays | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Orioles | 50c | 3,960$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.38 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Rays | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.17 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Rays | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.17 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f1…3d32backed Rays | 51c | 3,300$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Orioles | 49c | 3,015$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.32 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Rays | 51c | 2,776$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.24 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 12c | 2,736$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.78 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rays | 52c | 2,673$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.18 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Rays | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Orioles | 48c | 2,467$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.14 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Orioles | 48c | 2,400$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 61c | 1,810$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.04 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Orioles | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.98 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Rays | 51c | 1,458$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.42 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Rays | 52c | 1,389$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.14 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Orioles | 2c | 1,384$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Rays | 52c | 1,356$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.84 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…e51bbacked Orioles | 49c | 1,118$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…38a2backed Orioles | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Orioles | 1c | 1,100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…094bbacked Orioles | 49c | 1,093$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Orioles | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rays | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rays | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Orioles | 3c | 968.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays | 52c | 913.55$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.5 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Orioles | 3c | 890.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Orioles | 38c | 800$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Orioles | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays | 67c | 748.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.91 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Orioles | 21c | 716.6$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Rays | 52c | 693.9$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.07 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Orioles | 49c | 683.43$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.88 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Orioles | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Orioles | 4c | 595$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Rays | 52c | 575.31$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.15 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Rays | 64c | 555$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.26 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Rays | 52c | 538.46$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.46 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Orioles | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Orioles | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Rays | 75c | 496.51$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.17 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Orioles | 3c | 488.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Rays | 51c | 442.16$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.66 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Orioles | 10c | 435.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Rays | 50c | 433.76$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.88 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Orioles | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Rays | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Rays | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Orioles | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…78a3backed Orioles | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f2…3019backed Rays | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Orioles | 46c | 261.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rays | 79c | 229.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Orioles | 50c | 226.12$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.06 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Orioles | 47c | 221$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Orioles | 46c | 217.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Rays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Orioles | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Rays | 51c | 196.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.12 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…e4bcbacked Rays | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0fe8backed Rays | 55c | 182.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Rays | 51c | 177.02$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.53 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Orioles | 8c | 174.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Rays | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Orioles | 45c | 149.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Orioles | 46c | 139.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf14d…4c11backed Rays | 51c | 135.76$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.52 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Rays | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Orioles | 46c | 109.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…7bbebacked Rays | 51c | 106.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…9929backed Orioles | 50c | 105.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Rays | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Rays | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rays | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Orioles | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rays | 53c | 99.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758c…6730backed Orioles | 50c | 98.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Rays | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…f648backed Rays | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Rays | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Rays | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29a…adb7backed Orioles | 50c | 93.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.