TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Mets vs. Pirates

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Piratesof Mets, Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$298,030
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$264,226

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,030 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b5e…83f8backed Pirates43c49,484$21,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,238.214747.6%70 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Pirates43c48,967$21,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,911.2711153.2%59 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9483…39b2backed Mets57c33,771$19,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,249.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Mets57c27,030$15,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,407.2497950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Mets57c24,040$13,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,811.1919452.6%102 W · 92 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Pirates44c21,425$9,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,047.9944456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Mets57c19,501$11,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,075.6415745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pirates42c12,000$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,96060451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Pirates44c10,606$4,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,966.5738047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Mets56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Mets14c9,433$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.9295930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pirates46c9,264$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,023.1423752.7%125 W · 112 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8b…b3d7backed Mets57c8,833$5,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,051.645633.9%19 W · 37 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mets34c7,493$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,551.591,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fdc…3ad2backed Mets56c6,657$3,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,729.611040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Mets56c6,000$3,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,379.986660.6%40 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Mets1c5,890$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.848762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mets20c5,837$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.49,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Mets56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80025550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Mets57c4,872$2,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,777.2371751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Mets39c4,500$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,77069249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates42c4,053$1,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,350.461,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Mets57c4,037$2,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,300.982339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-31.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Mets57c4,035$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3004153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Pirates43c3,721$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120.971,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Mets2c3,227$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0516725.1%42 W · 125 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets56c2,546$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.582,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Mets1c2,506$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.545053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Mets1c2,417$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.32242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Mets4c2,345$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10127213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Mets57c2,327$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.1411036.4%40 W · 70 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Pirates44c2,256$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.7524154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Pirates43c2,147$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.6724553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1401,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be8…8df9backed Pirates43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Pirates41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18027953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Pirates42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.9737446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x704a…7c42backed Pirates44c1,907$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.75955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Mets26c1,896$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.6154941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Mets54c1,886$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0211,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d8…a851backed Mets60c1,702$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae8b…5f7cbacked Pirates40c1,700$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Mets59c1,550$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.531346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6b2…f6e2backed Mets32c1,516$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.591872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Mets1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mets57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8555648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mets60c1,349$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.611,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f2…0a1dbacked Mets59c1,308$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.981553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5398…5c6dbacked Mets11c1,128$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.171136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc8…1bfbbacked Mets56c1,111$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6221145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Mets5c1,100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.451151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets58c1,045$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.641,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ccc…660ebacked Mets57c1,035$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.95616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick54cpaid-68.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mets12c1,007$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.322,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Mets62c1,001$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62013946.8%65 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pirates44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mets56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5601,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Mets55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55032042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Pirates39c999.97$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.981,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Mets11c999.21$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7696133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x703b…e4d0backed Mets57c965$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.05875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9850…4708backed Mets57c930.79$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.552339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mets57c921$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.9773352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Mets58c915.85$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53166645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x484f…0075backed Pirates44c909.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x684a…1b69backed Pirates44c901.34$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.75771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Mets45c775$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.6665549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Mets10c735.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.986751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8619…2ab5backed Mets57c714.19$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a5…3b86backed Mets56c713.88$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.77633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Mets20c679.85$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.352542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a5b…e79dbacked Mets57c678$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.464850%24 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Mets58c676.19$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39014453.5%77 W · 67 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1741…cffbbacked Mets56c659.64$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.41030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-45.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Mets16c606.25$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9729240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Mets30c600$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18292754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Mets57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34233852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33fe…0cccbacked Mets16c587.5$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942718.5%5 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-54.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x50ea…c102backed Mets58c526.21$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe10e…cfddbacked Mets2c500.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.229824.5%24 W · 74 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Mets58c500.03$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.5214050.7%71 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976c…62b8backed Mets50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Mets59c499.94$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.9721538.6%83 W · 132 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Mets61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6b…5209backed Mets57c472.79$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b85…0941backed Mets61c454.25$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.49862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5085…d8a4backed Mets6c450$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25cc…3601backed Mets56c448$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.8810550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff24…76c1backed Mets56c433.99$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.039332.3%30 W · 63 L-16.8wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-36.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Pirates43c432.19$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.3518848.4%91 W · 97 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f55…0f1bbacked Mets58c428.75$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.22650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc028…9349backed Mets57c417.46$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.956046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c68…3d6fbacked Mets58c403.45$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23450%0 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x72cf…69aebacked Pirates39c382.45$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.293948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Pirates80c373.97$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9140547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Mets57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1206…bbc7backed Mets57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-34.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed Mets58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb99…f5a1backed Mets60c343.13$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Mets25c338.67$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8538743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.