AI · resolved market
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ae22e1fd29651ed6f049114672a0be94b907e833485a7a6d0c7df2dc7f03ce9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,019,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $612,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,019,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 401 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf933…4069backed Yes | 4c | 48,301$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 14c | 42,621$5,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,821.06 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc656…aa88backed Yes | 13c | 30,580$3,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,982.83 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…f954backed Yes | 5c | 26,872$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.19 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +13.9wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 3c | 26,194$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.45 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa85…4d17backed Yes | 27c | 24,949$6,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,829.45 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 20,520$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.31 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 20c | 20,278$4,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,110.96 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 3c | 19,802$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.48 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…70f5backed Yes | 1c | 18,444$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 20c | 17,473$3,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,537.58 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 21c | 16,438$3,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,433.87 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…297bbacked Yes | 13c | 15,615$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.87 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed Yes | 19c | 14,664$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.35 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285c…3583backed Yes | 12c | 14,600$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffb…5e4cbacked Yes | 10c | 13,416$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 12c | 13,094$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.73 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes | 5c | 12,264$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.5 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…2960backed Yes | 1c | 12,263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…00debacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 17c | 10,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.98 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Yes | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 13c | 9,749$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.57 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked Yes | 24c | 9,383$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.45 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 22c | 8,771$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.02 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes | 9c | 7,609$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.37 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 6,600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked Yes | 15c | 5,973$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.01 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…3eaabacked Yes | 14c | 5,703$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.82 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 15c | 5,661$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 1c | 5,660$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…3c74backed Yes | 14c | 5,574$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 22c | 5,394$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.59 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…179abacked Yes | 13c | 5,287$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes | 20c | 5,154$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.76 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 9c | 4,997$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.04 | 107 | 23.4%25 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,941$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.83 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 22c | 4,825$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.33 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 4,800$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…9274backed Yes | 18c | 4,670$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 18c | 4,514$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.5 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 5c | 4,400$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 17c | 4,172$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.05 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 7c | 4,026$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.08 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xace0…05cebacked Yes | 2c | 3,943$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed Yes | 30c | 3,672$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.48 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 13c | 3,600$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.99 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 79c | 3,590$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.89 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…b789backed Yes | 11c | 3,535$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.02 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +77%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 19c | 3,207$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.33 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 6c | 3,119$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.59 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 3,114$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…9fcfbacked Yes | 19c | 3,095$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 9c | 3,059$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.25 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 17c | 3,009$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.46 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Yes | 4c | 3,000$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 14c | 3,000$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 11c | 2,974$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.74 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…f534backed Yes | 9c | 2,933$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 13c | 2,833$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.39 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 20c | 2,805$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.98 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,747$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 150 | 2.7%4 W · 146 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…3154backed Yes | 19c | 2,500$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2552…73d2backed Yes | 18c | 2,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked Yes | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9305…e605backed Yes | 23c | 2,456$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes | 0c | 2,400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ce…6ba1backed Yes | 14c | 2,338$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 19c | 2,300$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed Yes | 23c | 2,250$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.97 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1b…6e41backed Yes | 3c | 2,228$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Yes | 15c | 2,171$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Yes | 17c | 2,100$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,093$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfd…d4fdbacked Yes | 7c | 2,077$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…1acdbacked Yes | 18c | 2,057$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.02 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3232…84b3backed Yes | 12c | 2,034$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f5…31a3backed Yes | 5c | 2,002$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf44a…4cbdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 1,931$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.09 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 1,882$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.85 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…fe9cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,868$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Yes | 18c | 1,866$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.89 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…e1edbacked Yes | 16c | 1,803$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -80%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 10c | 1,783$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.62 | 79 | 6.3%5 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…3c2dbacked No | 72c | 1,768$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.76 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7084…4bd6backed Yes | 5c | 1,761$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…a1f1backed Yes | 19c | 1,613$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.76 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 16c | 1,560$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 18c | 1,534$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.76 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1690backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd640…480cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,438$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 79c | 1,408$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.58 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64e…c86fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,370$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.68 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c7…64d3backed Yes | 13c | 1,369$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…a64cbacked No | 80c | 1,352$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes won
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.