Token Launches · resolved market
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90f0de1da4bb42c69b29c216033188c15eb87518fe98ec8389ea15d14d8e867f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $903,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $975,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $903,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 581 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc5b…c677backed Yes | 52c | 82,116$42,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,295.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 3c | 58,439$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.27 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 0c | 26,400$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…4c60backed No | 49c | 24,849$12,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,608.68 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…840ebacked Yes | 58c | 23,900$13,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,902.69 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +7.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x98fb…b06dbacked Yes | 70c | 20,700$14,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,470.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 20c | 17,173$3,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,654.43 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…9e26backed No | 57c | 15,337$8,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,657.36 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…b8f1backed Yes | 39c | 15,000$5,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,884.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc05…013abacked No | 54c | 11,848$6,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,446.37 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 39cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 37c | 10,087$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked No | 65c | 9,319$6,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,268.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 52c | 8,070$4,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,209.21 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…16debacked Yes | 55c | 7,359$4,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,013.43 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 52c | 7,130$3,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,387.52 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc445…552cbacked Yes | 56c | 7,045$3,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,965.44 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x437a…2948backed Yes | 25c | 7,000$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…9890backed No | 78c | 6,867$5,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.61 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Yes | 67c | 6,829$4,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,569.99 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked No | 37c | 6,690$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,194.17 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…99e7backed No | 34c | 6,635$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,391.07 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94cf…d339backed Yes | 3c | 6,571$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed No | 61c | 6,255$3,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…11debacked No | 52c | 6,166$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,974.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed Yes | 72c | 6,000$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,309.98 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 6c | 5,918$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.84 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc3…8548backed Yes | 44c | 5,798$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.66 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed No | 29c | 5,747$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,067.99 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…3400backed Yes | 44c | 5,675$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8331…965abacked Yes | 48c | 5,479$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,615.28 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…ff78backed Yes | 43c | 5,417$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.54 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 74c | 5,309$3,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,921.35 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…94edbacked Yes | 30c | 5,308$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.82 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed No | 53c | 5,308$2,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,494.78 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…b8f5backed No | 48c | 5,210$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.94 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…b679backed No | 70c | 5,157$3,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…95b0backed Yes | 39c | 5,000$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.83 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Yes | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…6148backed No | 65c | 5,000$3,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…158bbacked No | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.9 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…4d75backed No | 42c | 4,775$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed No | 47c | 4,294$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.13 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x714b…abdfbacked Yes | 13c | 4,205$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.89 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…359dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,169$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…dbe6backed No | 45c | 4,106$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.87 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8527…f12dbacked Yes | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…c211backed No | 57c | 4,000$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c28…7cf9backed No | 46c | 3,955$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006d…06f8backed No | 41c | 3,852$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.86 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…c464backed No | 45c | 3,701$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.82 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…4e07backed No | 39c | 3,695$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.49 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…7a96backed No | 49c | 3,663$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.34 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed No | 44c | 3,496$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.79 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 17c | 3,462$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.67 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed Yes | 50c | 3,327$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9c…270ebacked No | 55c | 3,277$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9329…9d3ebacked No | 24c | 3,240$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +276.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f25…21a4backed No | 62c | 3,203$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.61 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed No | 75c | 3,200$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf18…8a0dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,181$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 61c | 3,101$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.98 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf603…82f1backed Yes | 23c | 3,062$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 36c | 3,045$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.96 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571a…3315backed Yes | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.4 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf823…2b46backed No | 56c | 2,863$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…2fe3backed Yes | 2c | 2,748$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Yes | 2c | 2,746$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked No | 52c | 2,722$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.9 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…9e7abacked Yes | 43c | 2,657$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.09 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…3985backed No | 54c | 2,653$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…dbb2backed No | 51c | 2,644$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.03 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked No | 59c | 2,585$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.39 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…f1c9backed Yes | 58c | 2,499$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.3 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked No | 48c | 2,458$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.46 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e2…787cbacked No | 53c | 2,451$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…b892backed No | 69c | 2,398$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.75 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…256abacked Yes | 15c | 2,355$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.9 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…1e50backed No | 56c | 2,256$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 46c | 2,200$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd19b…817abacked Yes | 43c | 2,200$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 7c | 2,153$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.88 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb121…17b2backed Yes | 43c | 2,130$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…2a37backed Yes | 52c | 2,116$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…1ef4backed Yes | 52c | 2,104$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.88 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed No | 56c | 2,080$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed Yes | 49c | 2,072$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.93 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 54c | 2,051$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.12 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Yes | 15c | 2,027$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.04 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2156…5c9fbacked Yes | 39c | 2,004$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 58c | 2,000$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5684…7874backed No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…610fbacked Yes | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…e424backed No | 21c | 2,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.79 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbce…8faabacked Yes | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed No | 54c | 1,938$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.97 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 38c | 1,929$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.95 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed No | 17c | 1,907$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.88 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…b7e3backed No | 37c | 1,879$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.59 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Yes won
- Over $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $40M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $50M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $60M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $70M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $80M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $90M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.