Over $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadb68606457513e6d5a6cdaf8c4556c60f3d986ed2df78aba3875333719b1d4d

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $385,889
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $380,113

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,889 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa1ff…55bdbacked Yes	0c	49,737$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.74	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd762…1e56backed Yes	16c	18,994$3,051 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,051.39	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-4.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xca72…30cdbacked Yes	3c	13,183$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.66	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4bd…bfc8backed Yes	19c	10,030$1,884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,883.62	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ed3…aa68backed Yes	2c	10,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.77	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	25cpaid	-81.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac13…b93ebacked Yes	20c	9,746$1,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,997.64	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ab5…5a81backed Yes	6c	7,104$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.8	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1da0…2ea6backed No	50c	6,100$3,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,050	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0897…040bbacked Yes	14c	5,959$862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$862.02	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	5,803$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.95	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	4c	5,790$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.25	237	7.2%17 W · 220 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…c677backed No	75c	5,000$3,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,240	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	11c	4,869$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.2	61	8.2%5 W · 56 L	-7.7wins	-0.13per pick	21cpaid	-82%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x10b9…174dbacked Yes	19c	4,000$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd72…b6c6backed Yes	26c	3,967$1,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,025.69	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x948c…42eebacked Yes	18c	3,839$678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$677.86	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x828d…c9a5backed No	55c	3,771$2,070 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,700.88	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf855…efa9backed No	77c	3,640$2,803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$837	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	58cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefea…3b8fbacked Yes	6c	3,550$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b9…ec82backed Yes	7c	3,249$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.91	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46b0…efa6backed Yes	3c	3,168$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.1	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	5c	2,993$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.2	328	3%10 W · 318 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0e9…0384backed Yes	50c	2,970$1,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,485	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b48…9e7abacked Yes	3c	2,902$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.53	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	+3.0wins	+0.11per pick	25cpaid	+83.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8cc7…8a66backed Yes	48c	2,900$1,378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,378	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	32cpaid	-53%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8982…bb2cbacked Yes	8c	2,565$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1855…42e5backed Yes	34c	2,563$883 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$883.42	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e2…2a29backed Yes	1c	2,500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a3f…00dbbacked Yes	19c	2,400$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa180…507dbacked Yes	4c	2,280$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8944…41d5backed Yes	4c	2,275$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.49	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+2.4wins	+0.09per pick	23cpaid	-9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x865d…78fcbacked Yes	19c	2,200$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes	13c	2,161$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.94	131	31.3%41 W · 90 L	+12.1wins	+0.09per pick	22cpaid	+164.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd675…153dbacked Yes	4c	2,000$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6c…70a8backed Yes	1c	2,000$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a0…11f9backed Yes	35c	2,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ce4…57e1backed Yes	19c	1,800$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafce…c2f6backed Yes	2c	1,800$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.99	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-15%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80e4…dc76backed Yes	25c	1,740$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.35	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	6c	1,731$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.35	134	3.7%5 W · 129 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c5…9e62backed Yes	6c	1,671$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc934…99e7backed No	79c	1,653$1,306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.13	42	19%8 W · 34 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c67…21eebacked Yes	21c	1,628$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.3	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	-3.7wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed Yes	6c	1,602$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.67	123	4.1%5 W · 118 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-50%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf731…6c7cbacked Yes	19c	1,600$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8331…965abacked Yes	13c	1,596$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.04	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	-24%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	5c	1,588$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.16	254	1.6%4 W · 250 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb10a…ab03backed No	80c	1,565$1,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.5	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+9.4wins	+0.28per pick	34cpaid	+193.1%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes	6c	1,516$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.27	124	3.2%4 W · 120 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93b7…7d51backed No	52c	1,360$707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$652.8	205	51.2%105 W · 100 L	+13.3wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d3b…63b7backed No	76c	1,357$1,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322.54	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.14per pick	64cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	6c	1,339$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.59	244	2%5 W · 239 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62c2…c7aebacked No	69c	1,270$878 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$391.43	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df7…c90dbacked Yes	48c	1,260$605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$604.8	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes	31c	1,200$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	+11.3wins	+0.16per pick	40cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdc46…caa3backed Yes	2c	1,195$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.57	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-20%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	7c	1,176$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.89	233	3.4%8 W · 225 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf494…10a8backed Yes	9c	1,176$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89b8…84d7backed Yes	6c	1,173$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.75	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea35…4a01backed Yes	9c	1,128$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1c2…b7a0backed Yes	9c	1,122$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x839c…dcc6backed Yes	9c	1,091$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-3.4wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfaf2…4b18backed Yes	9c	1,060$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.38	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a0…802dbacked Yes	29c	1,007$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.29	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50b6…d364backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	13cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes	40c	1,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11e9…4136backed Yes	14c	1,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	86	30.2%26 W · 60 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dfe…8131backed Yes	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c52…f532backed Yes	20c	995$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	42cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad23…47c4backed No	74c	987.8$733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.92	107	63.6%68 W · 39 L	+11.1wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	6c	957.85$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.43	209	4.3%9 W · 200 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	14c	944.74$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.66	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8713…2057backed Yes	9c	944.44$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5cf…ede7backed Yes	5c	899.73$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.99	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-25%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61bc…7cbfbacked Yes	2c	899.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	6cpaid	+61%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ac…d864backed Yes	43c	840$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b48…90d8backed Yes	5c	805.6$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64b4…ba8fbacked Yes	19c	800$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.69	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945e…f061backed No	80c	790.99$633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	75cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d0…705dbacked Yes	10c	780.64$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.29	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3578…804fbacked Yes	9c	750.27$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.71	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	40cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes	6c	721.07$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.89	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-63.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…33a9backed Yes	29c	718.62$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.27	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-3.2wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd72…6cc4backed No	80c	707$566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.4	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.16per pick	58cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes	10c	661.45$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.4	254	22%56 W · 198 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaa5…888fbacked Yes	62c	658.92$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.92	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e0…604bbacked Yes	27c	629.58$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.8	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-2.8wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-71.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c2…a3d6backed No	60c	629.09$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.35	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6305…9d0bbacked Yes	8c	617.41$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	+7.5wins	+0.14per pick	25cpaid	+35.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9c27…778dbacked Yes	10c	606.43$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.64	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f0…6edabacked Yes	3c	599.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	19cpaid	+10%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a2…0bafbacked Yes	29c	588.19$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.17per pick	35cpaid	-74.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcff9…97efbacked Yes	9c	557.02$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2080…6d80backed Yes	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.25per pick	45cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	13c	529.7$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.3	357	12.9%46 W · 311 L	-29.9wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0eaa…cf5bbacked Yes	8c	525.41$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba91…72cdbacked Yes	19c	520.73$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+4.1wins	+0.22per pick	31cpaid	+73.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd90d…38e6backed Yes	22c	504.42$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.56	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d9d…e8b8backed Yes	48c	500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1657…c27ebacked Yes	14c	500$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.20per pick	42cpaid	-59%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Over $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?this page
Over $100M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Yes won
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Yes won
Over $30M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $40M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $50M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $60M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $70M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $80M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $90M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Over $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event