Over $30M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8d40d6e4c0cd18bf6928c696e5ffa15a4e0a2a8a8adfec0d01a992edef757c3

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $247,369
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $270,253

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,369 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa1ff…55bdbacked Yes	0c	20,060$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.06	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ed3…aa68backed Yes	1c	11,800$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.19	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	25cpaid	-81.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06e2…2a29backed Yes	0c	10,100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac13…b93ebacked Yes	23c	8,830$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd72…b6c6backed Yes	14c	5,091$713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$713.04	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e93…c5c4backed Yes	21c	4,740$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	20cpaid	+115.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e80…f694backed No	78c	4,221$3,303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$917.52	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-6.1wins	-0.24per pick	48cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6c67…21eebacked Yes	12c	4,039$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	-3.7wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdfaa…dc7dbacked Yes	5c	3,841$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8982…bb2cbacked Yes	5c	3,743$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc9bc…9b04backed Yes	5c	3,572$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.76	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-23%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d01…db1cbacked Yes	7c	3,054$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	3c	2,990$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.3	237	7.2%17 W · 220 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f6d…4ad5backed No	72c	2,653$1,907 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$745.8	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+2.7wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	+65.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	2,465$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.18	328	3%10 W · 318 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3578…804fbacked Yes	5c	2,168$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.73	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	40cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfaf2…4b18backed Yes	9c	2,150$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.89	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes	7c	2,100$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	131	31.3%41 W · 90 L	+12.1wins	+0.09per pick	22cpaid	+164.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf67f…31cfbacked No	77c	2,000$1,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+3.8wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x08a0…11f9backed Yes	23c	2,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	6c	1,968$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.88	61	8.2%5 W · 56 L	-7.7wins	-0.13per pick	21cpaid	-82%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6305…9d0bbacked Yes	5c	1,913$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	+7.5wins	+0.14per pick	25cpaid	+35.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	4c	1,830$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.42	134	3.7%5 W · 129 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd762…1e56backed Yes	13c	1,740$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.87	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-4.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	1,672$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.53	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafce…c2f6backed Yes	1c	1,618$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.83	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-15%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8944…41d5backed Yes	5c	1,528$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.71	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+2.4wins	+0.09per pick	23cpaid	-9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes	5c	1,476$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.6	124	3.2%4 W · 120 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed Yes	5c	1,466$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.13	123	4.1%5 W · 118 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-50%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2c…898abacked Yes	5c	1,450$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.22	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf841…6b81backed Yes	25c	1,420$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.25per pick	42cpaid	-72.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	4c	1,382$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.71	244	2%5 W · 239 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eaa…cf5bbacked Yes	4c	1,362$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.94	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec3d…342cbacked Yes	3c	1,254$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	4c	1,186$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.54	254	1.6%4 W · 250 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes	15c	1,143$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	+11.3wins	+0.16per pick	40cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbd1e…8d24backed Yes	4c	1,097$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.26	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf05…2a23backed Yes	12c	1,032$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.79	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	+10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11e9…4136backed Yes	3c	1,000$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	86	30.2%26 W · 60 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed No	60c	1,000$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes	27c	1,000$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ac2…ea15backed Yes	40c	970$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+37.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed Yes	8c	923.33$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7f8…a965backed Yes	11c	920.47$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2208…f6f5backed Yes	5c	900$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.26	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd614…33a9backed Yes	26c	777.78$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-3.2wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	4c	732.41$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.32	209	4.3%9 W · 200 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc622…8f86backed No	46c	727.75$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.99	55	40%22 W · 33 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	11c	725.71$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.52	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Yes	3c	722.32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	144	37.5%54 W · 90 L	+11.5wins	+0.08per pick	29cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94fc…e11fbacked Yes	4c	700$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37f0…6edabacked Yes	3c	699.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	19cpaid	+10%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39e7…a2a3backed Yes	7c	649.39$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.76	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8331…965abacked Yes	11c	629$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.11	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	-24%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80e4…dc76backed Yes	37c	600$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40a0…802dbacked Yes	28c	538$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.64	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes	4c	512.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-63.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes	4c	511.98$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.22	111	24.3%27 W · 84 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+153.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10a…ab03backed No	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+9.4wins	+0.28per pick	34cpaid	+193.1%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x45d1…db95backed Yes	23c	478.26$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d32…563abacked Yes	36c	416.77$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	35	40%14 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-23%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	8c	411.43$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.46	349	5.7%20 W · 329 L	-25.3wins	-0.07per pick	13cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x485d…47edbacked Yes	5c	402.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	-6.6wins	-0.21per pick	37cpaid	-70.5%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x93b7…7d51backed No	65c	400$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140	205	51.2%105 W · 100 L	+13.3wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x64b4…ba8fbacked Yes	14c	400$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.8	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc4…b89ebacked Yes	5c	398.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	4c	387.3$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.18	110	7.3%8 W · 102 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf82a…d221backed Yes	3c	382.74$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.86	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50dd…e9d0backed Yes	13c	379.98$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.32	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6650…71b6backed Yes	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4d…c365backed Yes	24c	318.33$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.75	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	4c	316.89$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.47	51	0%0 W · 51 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2179…2fe8backed No	77c	300$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d28…9b1cbacked Yes	14c	299.99$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0012…543bbacked Yes	8c	298.76$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42f0…fc87backed Yes	12c	297.91$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x988e…5558backed Yes	17c	293.56$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ac…d864backed Yes	19c	291.69$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	10c	285.72$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.02	193	36.3%70 W · 123 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ec…3eecbacked No	72c	271.06$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.58	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df7…f332backed No	53c	264.88$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.68	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa488…4a49backed No	79c	264$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.44	40	65%26 W · 14 L	+4.4wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+11%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc05…f600backed No	60c	249.99$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	84	21.4%18 W · 66 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	+37%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…a3d6backed No	63c	248.06$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.78	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f04…bceabacked Yes	25c	242.73$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd33d…e0f5backed Yes	11c	235.21$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.39	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes	6c	214.95$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.96	55	3.6%2 W · 53 L	-7.0wins	-0.13per pick	16cpaid	-83.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf625…9d5dbacked Yes	5c	214.35$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.04	52	19.2%10 W · 42 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d5f…b380backed Yes	42c	200$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	81	27.2%22 W · 59 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9269…5731backed Yes	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x055d…9148backed No	78c	199.99$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.5wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x08de…eb74backed Yes	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d9…c46abacked Yes	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9d6…6e46backed Yes	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07d2…487ebacked Yes	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	54cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	24c	184.01$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.11	357	12.9%46 W · 311 L	-29.9wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x36c7…285fbacked Yes	45c	182.75$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.04	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd160…0af6backed Yes	21c	176.92$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.15	49	24.5%12 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaefd…b786backed Yes	14c	160$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-3.6wins	-0.21per pick	39cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Over $30M committed to the Hurupay public sale?this page
Over $100M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Yes won
Over $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Yes won
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $40M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $50M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $60M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $70M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $80M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $90M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Over $30M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event