Token Launches · resolved market
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb4560517e841577d6b56a2faf67486493b34fefb6339cf05a6dd25472c16d64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $405,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $413,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc5b…c677backed Yes | 20c | 113,563$22,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,435.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa160…7b21backed No | 80c | 26,854$21,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,421.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8331…965abacked Yes | 11c | 18,245$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.95 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…935abacked No | 69c | 17,826$12,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,601.93 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…03c5backed No | 52c | 14,033$7,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,780.84 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…95b0backed Yes | 11c | 9,933$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc46…caa3backed Yes | 12c | 8,913$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 7,695$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 18c | 7,490$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.28 | 111 | 24.3%27 W · 84 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…b8f1backed Yes | 8c | 7,367$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd762…1e56backed Yes | 38c | 6,017$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.88 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed3…aa68backed Yes | 12c | 5,000$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.91 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked No | 78c | 4,713$3,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.84 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…fd0dbacked Yes | 13c | 4,400$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b0…efa6backed Yes | 8c | 3,950$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.94 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 7c | 3,892$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…8cf6backed Yes | 26c | 3,841$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…99e7backed No | 55c | 3,793$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.67 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x839c…dcc6backed Yes | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefea…3b8fbacked Yes | 17c | 2,969$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…7611backed Yes | 17c | 2,812$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe268…12aabacked Yes | 36c | 2,803$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b4…ba8fbacked Yes | 42c | 2,791$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.22 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…9e26backed Yes | 9c | 2,777$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.93 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…4c60backed No | 76c | 2,367$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.93 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…a60ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…b350backed Yes | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -58%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf5…ecf5backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…d7dbbacked Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0d…e5c6backed Yes | 45c | 1,876$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed Yes | 7c | 1,817$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.68 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf603…82f1backed Yes | 7c | 1,780$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…1ef4backed Yes | 12c | 1,709$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.79 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 10c | 1,619$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.46 | 110 | 7.3%8 W · 102 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711f…f51bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,500$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06ae…a74dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,480$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 14c | 1,475$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…9387backed Yes | 12c | 1,437$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 1,352$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.11 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 11c | 1,347$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.13 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff0…a5bfbacked Yes | 15c | 1,337$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 15c | 1,328$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.76 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 65c | 1,200$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 64c | 1,200$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Yes | 11c | 1,200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…5be3backed Yes | 9c | 1,117$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f06…39c7backed Yes | 25c | 1,110$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 5c | 1,105$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x485d…47edbacked Yes | 15c | 1,086$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…a321backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…f332backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…9e7abacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50b6…d364backed Yes | 4c | 999.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…84d7backed Yes | 15c | 997.52$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 37c | 982.27$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.26 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -82%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6305…9d0bbacked Yes | 20c | 976.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 969.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.23 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…5a81backed Yes | 19c | 968.02$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Yes | 11c | 910.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…d021backed Yes | 13c | 900$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Yes | 10c | 888$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +13.4wins | +0.24per pick | 31cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…b7e3backed No | 72c | 835.13$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.13 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…907abacked Yes | 6c | 834.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 832.86$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.62 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 9c | 801.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 123 | 4.1%5 W · 118 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…5feebacked Yes | 9c | 800$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 8c | 760.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 53c | 749.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…715abacked Yes | 20c | 745$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 8c | 719.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bd…bfc8backed Yes | 46c | 702.92$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.3 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 7c | 700.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…153dbacked Yes | 15c | 700$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 9c | 700$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 124 | 3.2%4 W · 120 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a2…35aebacked Yes | 5c | 700$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a0…802dbacked Yes | 30c | 699.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d28…4c03backed Yes | 9c | 683.65$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f3…4717backed Yes | 9c | 676.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 57c | 632.99$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.25 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…604bbacked Yes | 24c | 629.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed No | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8262…eddebacked Yes | 17c | 600$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 74c | 596.43$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.24 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 10c | 587.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 99 | 14.1%14 W · 85 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98f8…fcaebacked Yes | 3c | 580$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Yes | 51c | 559$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.78 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 13c | 555.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 44c | 540$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.4 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 11c | 510$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8771…94aebacked Yes | 16c | 508.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Yes | 14c | 504.83$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 9c | 500$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2208…f6f5backed Yes | 25c | 500$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0897…040bbacked Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Yes won
- Over $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $40M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $50M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $60M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $70M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $80M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $90M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.