Token Launches · resolved market
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x351d39d79c4645d53d31dba4a11daa5f1bf3f7e1795da2b2b196b9b3f6a67131
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,188,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,222,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,188,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 464 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c49…a8fcbacked No | 44c | 244,900$108,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,923.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eda…cc4dbacked Yes | 56c | 244,900$135,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,923.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…c677backed Yes | 62c | 184,424$113,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,923.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed No | 1c | 73,619$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.61 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked No | 40c | 33,077$13,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,293.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…16debacked No | 41c | 16,938$6,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,870.14 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…b8f1backed Yes | 53c | 15,897$8,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500.86 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed No | 40c | 14,769$5,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,968.46 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49f8…8c04backed No | 43c | 12,059$5,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,182.96 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked No | 40c | 11,968$4,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,806.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bf…7c67backed No | 8c | 11,778$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.32 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed Yes | 59c | 11,251$6,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,576.1 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed Yes | 78c | 10,966$8,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.28 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4b…1b8bbacked No | 40c | 10,737$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,310.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…520dbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…c659backed No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed No | 38c | 8,164$3,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,098.01 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc3…8548backed Yes | 51c | 6,040$3,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.91 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6903…b6f9backed No | 35c | 5,634$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.95 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed No | 34c | 5,424$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.69 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f25…21a4backed No | 40c | 5,060$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc445…552cbacked Yes | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5c…bb60backed Yes | 77c | 5,000$3,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.67 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 77c | 4,800$3,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…b8f5backed No | 32c | 4,677$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.78 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571a…3315backed No | 43c | 4,655$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.52 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e36…c05cbacked No | 37c | 4,433$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…72bebacked No | 37c | 4,124$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.19 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…558abacked Yes | 66c | 4,045$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed No | 30c | 4,000$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.75 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdc…b42cbacked Yes | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b3…140ebacked No | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5345…8ccfbacked Yes | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed Yes | 69c | 4,000$2,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.14 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9c…270ebacked No | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 62c | 3,563$2,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e1…c852backed No | 41c | 3,511$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.55 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…ef0fbacked Yes | 78c | 3,483$2,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…99e7backed No | 22c | 3,449$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.16 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x140b…d5c3backed No | 38c | 3,437$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 64c | 3,321$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…6df6backed Yes | 64c | 3,177$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…f99fbacked No | 37c | 3,125$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.78 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f13…3a2dbacked No | 29c | 3,049$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524b…49acbacked No | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…c600backed Yes | 67c | 3,000$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.99 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x301d…c4f3backed No | 39c | 2,805$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked No | 36c | 2,800$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f0…d9cfbacked Yes | 52c | 2,738$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 62c | 2,733$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.74 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 35c | 2,710$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.14 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8331…965abacked Yes | 65c | 2,671$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.51 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed No | 36c | 2,658$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.89 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed No | 39c | 2,540$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…840ebacked Yes | 67c | 2,527$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.76 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +7.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf494…10a8backed No | 40c | 2,503$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 27c | 2,500$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.82 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 40c | 2,472$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.35 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…dbb2backed No | 38c | 2,438$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1084…d520backed No | 31c | 2,427$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.19 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…9387backed Yes | 72c | 2,361$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…3985backed No | 34c | 2,351$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aeb…0c44backed No | 40c | 2,330$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…7234backed No | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa377…d301backed Yes | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 37c | 2,149$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.26 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…2fe8backed No | 49c | 2,110$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.7 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e57…da31backed Yes | 54c | 2,050$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Yes | 57c | 2,047$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.94 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…44a2backed No | 25c | 2,011$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776b…7251backed No | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…03c5backed No | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa643…d43dbacked Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed No | 39c | 1,997$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.2 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +12.0wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…6d24backed No | 39c | 1,960$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.06 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d71…241dbacked Yes | 54c | 1,950$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 27c | 1,887$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.25 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3956…e71bbacked No | 44c | 1,820$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc526…b075backed Yes | 54c | 1,800$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 55c | 1,735$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.53 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 32c | 1,697$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.36 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed No | 39c | 1,690$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Yes | 61c | 1,656$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…cd66backed No | 39c | 1,633$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 64c | 1,594$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.11 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -82%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddf2…19a3backed Yes | 72c | 1,589$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…7d27backed No | 26c | 1,570$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed No | 33c | 1,570$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.86 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…4c62backed Yes | 79c | 1,555$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed No | 34c | 1,512$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…5a21backed No | 33c | 1,500$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked No | 39c | 1,421$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.32 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +13.4wins | +0.24per pick | 31cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x65e4…66bbbacked No | 24c | 1,400$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f0…0975backed Yes | 58c | 1,381$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f3…d38cbacked No | 43c | 1,375$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.93 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…37acbacked Yes | 78c | 1,300$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc05…013abacked No | 46c | 1,280$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.77 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 39cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a7…6fa3backed No | 40c | 1,277$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed No | 34c | 1,275$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.64 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Yes won
- Over $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $30M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $40M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $50M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $60M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $70M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $80M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $90M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.